The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AFC Wimbledon 23.6%
Draw 25%
Wycombe Wanderers 51.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.4%
26.2%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
25.4%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Wimbledon's form might have worsened.
Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wycombe Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wycombe Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AFC Wimbledon - Wycombe Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Bursik J. (G) 7. Tilley J. 17. Yiadom A. 6. Johnson R. (C) 3. Seddon S. 29. Sasu A. 23. Cornick H. 5. Harrison O. 12. Smith A. 21. Hippolyte M. 9. Stockley J.
23. Hazard C. (G) 2. Grimmer J. (C) 26. Taylor C. 45. Hagelskjaer A. 3. Harvie D. 8. Boyd-Munce C. 4. Scowen J. 44. Onyedinma F. 12. Woodrow C. 21. Mullins J. 15. Wareham J.
Substitutes
34. Hedges H. 22. Horan R. 8. Maycock C. 20. McDonnell J. (G) 10. Nelson Z. 2. Sessegnon S. 15. Simmonds F.
17. Casey D. 27. Cook S. 10. Leahy L. 5. Morley A. 7. Quitirna A. 11. Thomas S. 33. Wildsmith J. (G)
Coaches
Jackson J.
Hounsell T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Stockley J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Onyedinma F. ⚽, Wareham J. (A),
61', Mullins J. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
65', Harrison O. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
65', Cornick H. ↓, Sessegnon S. ↑,
67', Seddon S. 🟨,
74', Woodrow C. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
82', Sasu A. ↓, Hedges H. ↑,
82', Hippolyte M. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
86', Scowen J. ↓, Leahy L. ↑,
86', Boyd-Munce C. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 16th and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2.
Wimbledon is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Wycombe have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Wycombe has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Wycombe for this game.
Confirmed absences for Wimbledon: Ogundere I.
(Inactive)
Stevens M.
(Hamstring Injury).
Confirmed absences for Wycombe: Henderson E.
(Yellow Cards)
Ings D.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Wimbledon: McNeilly D.
(Inactive)
Richards D.
(Injury)
Sweeney D.
(Inactive).
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Wimbledon has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:17 (averaging 1.1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wimbledon against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:6 goals (averaging 1.1:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Wycombe
12
3
6
3
19:23
-4
15
17
AFC Wimbledon
12
3
4
5
8:19
-11
13
Outrights of English League One for now
Wycombe: 2.7% AFC Wimbledon: 0.45%
Last Results with these Odds
AFC Wimbledon - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.4%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.