The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 37%
Draw 28.6%
AFC Wimbledon 34.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
27.2%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.3%
26.8%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Wimbledon's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
33.3%
60%
Cheltenham Town - AFC Wimbledon Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 31.2% – 83%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Evans O. (G) 5. Laing L. 25. Stubbs S. 18. Bakare I. 2. Jude-Boyd A. 8. Young L. 17. Bennett S. (C) 3. Haynes R. 16. Colwill J. 9. Taylor M. 12. Bowman R.
1. Goodman O. (G) 26. Harbottle R. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 11. Neufville J. 12. Smith A. 4. Reeves J. (C) 21. Hippolyte M. 3. Furlong J. 39. Pigott J. 9. Bugiel O.
Substitutes
22. Archer E. 21. Day J. (G) 14. Dulson L. 10. Miller G. 34. Pett T. 15. Thomas J. 30. Willcox F.
16. Ball J. 10. Kelly J. 8. Maycock C. 33. Ogundere I. 14. Stevens M. 7. Tilley J. 22. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Flynn M.
Jackson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Bennett S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Taylor M. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Pigott J. ⚽, Johnson R. (A),
73', Bakare I. ↓, Dulson L. ↑,
73', Young L. ↓, Archer E. ↑,
81', Hippolyte M. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
82', Pigott J. ↓, Stevens M. ↑,
84', Bennett S. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
84', Haynes R. ↓, Pett T. ↑,
90+3', Reeves J. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Wimbledon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.