Match Info

Superliga - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: New Vejlby Stadium (Aarhus) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Redder M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	18:00	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 3
Denmark	18:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	19:00	Viaplay
Norway	18:00	Viaplay
Slovenia	18:00	SportKlub 1
Sweden	18:00	Viaplay
International	17:00	Sport 1 Baltic


	AGF Aarhus		Viborg

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.60	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.60	2.70
	2.28	3.70	2.75
	2.42	3.69	2.91
	2.4	3.61	2.79	Watch
	2.35	3.65	2.85
	2.34	3.66	2.85	Watch
	2.30	3.60	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.45)	3.64 ↑ (3.55)	2.79 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AGF Aarhus
40.4%

Draw
25.9%

Viborg
33.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.5%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Viborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viborg than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

AGF Aarhus - Viborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Viborg will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Viborg (4.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Viborg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hansen J. (G) 14. Molgaard T. 5. Tingager F. 3. Gretarsson D. L. 26. Andersen J. 4. Knudsen M. 10. Arnstad K. (C) 39. Emmery F. 31. Bech T. 18. McCowatt C. 28. Bogere J.	20. Kiilerich K. (G) 26. Bidstrup H. 4. Kirkegaard L. 5. Zaletel Z. 23. Bundgaard O. 8. Beck A. 13. Gronning J. (C) 6. Sondergaard M. 18. Alte R. 19. Hanza D. 11. Nouck C.
Substitutes
29. Carstensen R. 21. Hedenstad M. (G) 16. Jonsson J. 8. Jorgensen S. 19. Kahl E. 11. Links G. 25. Rosler C. 7. Solbakken M. 27. Tchamche S.	24. Anyembe D. 28. Coulibaly L. 33. Damkjer F. 25. Giulio 34. Keller P. 36. Kleis-Kristoffersen A. 3. Lunddal V. 1. Lund L. (G) 38. Monrad E.
Coaches
Poulsen J.	Lund N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Emmery F. ⚽, Bogere J. (A),
26', Arnstad K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tingager F. ↓, Kahl E. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Bech T. ⚽, Andersen J. (A),
63', Bidstrup H. ↓, Anyembe D. ↑,
63', Alte R. ↓, Keller P. ↑,
66', Emmery F. 🟨,
71', Emmery F. ↓, Links G. ↑,
77', McCowatt C. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
77', Bogere J. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,
78', Gronning J. ↓, Damkjer F. ↑,
78', Sondergaard M. ↓, Giulio ↑,
79', Knudsen M. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Giulio ⚽,
85', Hanza D. ↓, Kleis-Kristoffersen A. ↑,
86', Knudsen M. ↓, Solbakken M. ↑,
89', Anyembe D. 🟨,
90', Solbakken M. 🟨,
90+3', Keller P. 🟨,
90+4', Giulio 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 10th in the Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Viborg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Aarhus: Anderson M. (Injury) Camara M. (Inactive) Kristjansson T. (Broken Hand) Links G. (Knock) Poulsen N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Yakob K. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Viborg: Coulibaly L. (Inactive) Freriks T. (Knock) Mitchell R. (Injury) Njoh Y. (Injury) Riahi M. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aarhus has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:22 (averaging 1.7:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aarhus against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 25:13 goals (averaging 2.1:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Viborg	12	6	2	4	19:12	7	20
8	Aarhus	12	2	6	4	17:19	-2	12

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

Viborg: 2.7% Aarhus: 0.66%

Last Results with these Odds

AGF Aarhus - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.25%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AGF Aarhus
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	AGF Aarhus - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
18.10.26	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Gent - AGF Aarhus	1:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
12.10.26	AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	AGF Aarhus - Vendsyssel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTLWW
- Viborg FF
Danish Superliga
19.10.26	Viborg - Midtjylland	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Randers FC - Viborg	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Holstein Kiel - Viborg	3:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
20.09.26	Viborg - Nordsjælland	4:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	Brabrand - Viborg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
14.08.26	Viborg - AGF Aarhus	2:1
Club Friendly
27.06.26	AGF Aarhus - Viborg	1:1
Danish Superliga
17.05.26	AGF Aarhus - Viborg	6:2
06.04.26	Viborg - AGF Aarhus	1:2
22.02.26	AGF Aarhus - Viborg	5:2
14.09.25	Viborg - AGF Aarhus	1:2
09.03.25	AGF Aarhus - Viborg	1:1

Upcoming Matches