The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AGMK 73.4%
Draw 17.3%
Xorazm Urganch 9.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.5%
24.4%
15%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
19%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AGMK's performance.
Xorazm Urganch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xorazm Urganch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-26.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AGMK that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xorazm Urganch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
AGMK - Xorazm Urganch Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. AGMK will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Abdunabiev K. (G) 17. Abdurazzakov N. 7. Akhmadaliev D. 88. Haghnazari S. 9. Kholmurodov A. 27. Kojic U. 4. Kosimov M. 19. Mukimzhonov A. 5. Papava G. (C) 8. Turdialiev A. 6. Ulmasaliev A.
77. Ergashev U. (G) 79. Akhrorov A. 9. Azimov S. 34. Izzatov S. 22. Khamidzhonov S. 88. Khusinov A. 6. Muzaffarov N. 5. Otakhonov A. (C) 96. Rafael Sabino 10. Rafael Tavares 12. Shiryaev M.
Substitutes
11. Abdurakhmonov A. 22. Akhrorov S. 77. Pesic I. 30. Sarimsakov A. 28. Sentoku A. 10. Sobirzhonov A. 3. Toirov S. 21. Tursunkulov K. 31. Ubaydullayev M. (G)
23. Bekchanov S. 7. Ismoilov T. 17. Nugumanov D. 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 33. Stosic N. (G) 3. Sultonov R. 71. Sultonov U. 41. Ummatov I. 11. Yejov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', Akhmadaliev D. ↓, Toirov S. ↑,
54', Kosimov M. ↓, Sentoku A. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Haghnazari S. (Penalty Awarded),
73', 🟨,
76', Ulmasaliev A. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Sultonov U. ⚽,
90+1', Sobirzhonov A. 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 1, Haghnazari S. ⚽,
90+12', Haghnazari S. ↓, Sarimsakov A. ↑,
90+13', 🟨,
Preview
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
In this match, AGMK is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, AGMK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, AGMK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
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Abdunabiev K. (G) 
Haghnazari S. 
Kojic U. 
Papava G. (C) 
Rafael Sabino 
Shiryaev M. 
Pesic I. 
Sentoku A. 
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