Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 17

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Strawberry Arena (Solna)

Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play


	AIK		Öster

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	6.5	Watch
	1.52	4.1	6
	1.55	3.9	6.3	Watch
	1.57	4.01	6.3
	1.67	3.44	5.73	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6.5
	1.57	3.9	6.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)	3.88 ↓ (4.14)	6.23 ↑ (5.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AIK
60.5%

Draw
24.4%

Öster
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

22.8%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

18.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Öster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AIK than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AIK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Öster than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

AIK - Öster Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Öster (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: AIK will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AIK will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. AIK (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Öster (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Joelsson K. (G) 17. Thychosen M. (C) 32. Benkovic F. 4. Papagiannopoulos S. 3. Isherwood T. 46. Geiger Y. 33. Csongvai A. 10. Celina B. 18. Ali A. 45. Ayari T. 20. Flataker E.	13. Wallinder R. (G) 33. Varmanen T. 15. Kricak I. (C) 5. Adolfsson M. 21. Bergquist L. 7. Suhonen A. 26. Christensen M. 18. Ljung D. 10. Uddenas O. 20. Aliev A. 24. Sejdiu P.
Substitutes
11. Guidetti J. 8. Hove J. 5. Karlsson K. 12. Pavey C. 13. Stamatopoulos K. (G) 16. Tiedemann B. 21. Wilson S.	8. Ask D. 3. Gyamfi K. 32. Lundahl C. (G) 14. Olsson D. 23. Rodic V. 6. Soderberg N. 4. Starke S. 19. Tamminen M. 34. Voelkerling Persson J.
Coaches
Thomassen M.	Foyston M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Christensen M. ↓, Gyamfi K. ↑,
66', Csongvai A. 🟨,
69', Flataker E. ↓, Guidetti J. ↑,
69', Geiger Y. ↓, Hove J. ↑,
72', Suhonen A. ↓, Soderberg N. ↑,
72', Sejdiu P. ↓, Tamminen M. ↑,
80', Isherwood T. ↓, Tiedemann B. ↑,
83', Ayari T. ↓, Karlsson K. ↑,
90+1', Uddenas O. ↓, Rodic V. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).

Recent performances by AIK have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Öster is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

AIK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, AIK is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in AIK: Andersson V. (Inactive) Edh E. (Back Injury) Ellingsen M. (Leg Injury) Filling K. (Inactive) Redkin A. (Inactive) Uronen J. (Inactive) van der Laan E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Öster: Varmanen T. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, AIK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, AIK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AIK Fotboll
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Paide LM - AIK	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.07.25	Mjällby - AIK	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	AIK - Degerfors	3:0 ✺
06.07.25	Halmstad - AIK	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	AIK - IFK Göteborg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW
- Östers IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.07.25	Öster - Malmö	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Brommapojkarna - Öster	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Öster - Mjällby	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	Öster - Sirius	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.06.25	IFK Göteborg - Öster	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
20.04.25	Öster - AIK	0:1
Svenska Cupen
09.03.19	Öster - AIK	2:4 ET
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.09.13	AIK - Öster	2:1
19.05.13	Öster - AIK	2:3

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