Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 6

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Borås Arena (Borås)

Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1


	Elfsborg		AIK

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.55
	2.55	3.25	2.6
	2.62	3.25	2.62
	2.8	3.35	2.72
	2.72	3.22	2.67	Watch
	2.7	3	2.6
	2.68	3.14	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.65)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	2.63 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
35%

Draw
29.3%

AIK
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

27%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Elfsborg - AIK Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Elfsborg (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pettersson I. (G) 8. Holmen S. (C) 6. Wikstrom R. 4. Isherwood T. 15. Hedlund S. 18. Magnusson J. 10. Olsson S. 23. Hult N. 24. Ihler F. 11. Silverholt T. 25. Sigurpalsson A.	15. Nordfeldt K. (C) 12. Pavey C. 33. Csongvai A. 25. Cisse I. 21. Wilson S. 18. Ali A. 36. Yohanna Z. 8. Hove J. 7. Mujanic A. 10. Celina B. 9. Flataker E.
Substitutes
28. Aronsson F. 3. Buhari I. 1. Erlandsson T. (G) 16. Hellemaa A. 29. Kamara M. 2. Mohammed R. 27. Okeke V. 21. Ostman L. 20. Rapp G.	11. Andersson V. 45. Ayari T. 29. Filling K. 46. Geiger Y. 16. Gustafsson S. 30. Joelsson K. (G) 48. Kouame A. 4. Papagiannopoulos S. 17. Thychosen M.
Coaches
Hamberg B.	Riveiro J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Sigurpalsson A. ⚽, Ihler F. (A),
9', 1 - 1, Yohanna Z. ⚽, Celina B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pavey C. ↓, Thychosen M. ↑,
47', Csongvai A. 🟨,
72', Flataker E. ↓, Filling K. ↑,
72', Sigurpalsson A. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
72', Mujanic A. ↓, Geiger Y. ↑,
82', Ihler F. ↓, Ostman L. ↑,
82', Hedlund S. ↓, Aronsson F. ↑,
85', Ali A. ↓, Kouame A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 2.

Elfsborg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

AIK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Elfsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Elfsborg: Frick P. (Broken ankle) Zeneli A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in AIK: Besirovic D. (Injury) Edh E. (Injury) Ellingsen M. (Leg Injury) Helm A. (Inactive) Nissen F. (Inactive) Redkin A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Elfsborg: Beck J. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:34. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Elfsborg	22	10	7	5	31:22	9	37
9	AIK	23	9	6	8	36:40	-4	33

Last Results with these Odds

Elfsborg - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.82%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

AIK - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.21%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.04.26	Kalmar - Elfsborg	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Elfsborg - Djurgården	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Degerfors - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Västerås SK - Elfsborg	2:2 ✺
06.04.26	Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWTW
- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.04.26	AIK - Malmö	0:1 ✺
23.04.26	Degerfors - AIK	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	AIK - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Brommapojkarna - AIK	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	AIK - Halmstad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
02.11.25	Elfsborg - AIK	0:3
27.04.25	AIK - Elfsborg	2:0
27.10.24	AIK - Elfsborg	2:1
15.05.24	Elfsborg - AIK	6:1
23.10.23	Elfsborg - AIK	3:0
11.06.23	AIK - Elfsborg	1:2
06.11.22	AIK - Elfsborg	0:1

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