Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 5

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Nordic Wellness Arena (Göteborg)

Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen


	Häcken		Sirius

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.1	Watch
	2.87	3.5	2.25
	3	3.65	2.15
	3.17	3.88	2.18
	3.11	3.81	2.14	Watch
	3	3.5	2.1
	3.09	3.59	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.36)	3.65 ↑ (3.61)	2.15 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Häcken
30.7%

Draw
25.7%

Sirius
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

26.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Häcken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Häcken's form might have worsened.

Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sirius's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Häcken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sirius, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.7%	27.3%	50%

Häcken - Sirius Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Häcken will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Sirius will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sirius: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sirius (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Andersson D. (G) 5. Wembangomo B. 13. Hilvenius H. 22. Helander F. 21. Lundkvist A. 6. Doumbia A. 10. Rygaard M. (C) 20. Svanback A. 11. Lindberg J. 24. Layouni A. 9. Lindgren G.	34. Celic D. (G) 5. Castegren H. 2. Soumah M. 4. Anker T. 22. Krusnell O. 6. Lindberg M. 10. Heier M. 11. Bjerkebo I. 8. Nartey M. 7. Persson J. 9. Ure R.
Substitutes
14. Agbonifo J. 18. Al Saed D. 16. Dahbo P. 17. Engdahl B. 3. Hammar J. 1. Linde A. (G) 7. Ngabo S. 12. Ohman F. 23. Samuelsson O.	25. Adindu O. 26. Andersson H. 1. Diawara I. (G) 20. Ekstrom V. 12. Hook I. 17. Jonsson N. 27. Magnusson B. 21. Nilden C. 24. Svensson V.
Coaches
Gustafsson J.	Engelmark A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Rygaard M. ⚽, Svanback A. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Lindgren G. ⚽, Wembangomo B. (A),
40', 2 - 1, Ure R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Nartey M. ↓, Jonsson N. ↑,
62', Svanback A. ↓, Dahbo P. ↑,
74', Lindgren G. ↓, Ngabo S. ↑,
78', Persson J. ↓, Svensson V. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Soumah M. ⚽, Jonsson N. (A),
89', Krusnell O. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Häcken won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Häcken may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Häcken: Andersen S. (Yellow Cards) Berisha E. (Inactive) Kondo S. (Inactive) Linde A. (Injury) Seger D. (Inactive) Vaisanen L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sirius: Milleskog N. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Häcken: Lundkvist A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sirius: Sandberg S. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Häcken won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:29. (average 1.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Häcken won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.9:1.5).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Sirius: 71.53% Hacken: 0.68%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sirius	23	17	3	3	53:28	25	54
5	Hacken	22	9	9	4	39:30	9	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.04.26	Västerås SK - Häcken	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Häcken - GAIS	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	IFK Göteborg - Häcken	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Häcken - Brommapojkarna	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Häcken - Mjällby	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWTT
- IK Sirius
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.04.26	Malmö - Sirius	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Sirius - Västerås SK	4:1 ✺
13.04.26	Sirius - Hammarby	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Degerfors - Sirius	0:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
22.03.26	Hammarby - Sirius	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
18.10.25	Häcken - Sirius	1:1
10.05.25	Sirius - Häcken	2:0
Svenska Cupen
01.03.25	Häcken - Sirius	0:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.09.24	Häcken - Sirius	2:0
04.05.24	Sirius - Häcken	0:3
20.08.23	Häcken - Sirius	3:2
23.04.23	Sirius - Häcken	1:4

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