Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 13

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	AJEL de Rufisque		Gorée

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.45	2.98
	2.97	2.21	3.17
	2.89	2.33	3.22	Watch
	2.75	2.3	2.9
	2.85	2.25	3.15
	2.85	2.16	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.74)	2.28 ↓ (2.79)	3.13 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AJEL de Rufisque
31.7%

Draw
39.4%

Gorée
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

32.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

34.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AJEL de Rufisque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Gorée has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AJEL de Rufisque than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorée than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

AJEL de Rufisque - Gorée Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

In recent matches, AJEL has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gorée is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Gorée has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, AJEL won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, AJEL won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AJEL	30	15	9	6	27:19	8	54
4	US Goree	30	11	15	4	29:14	15	48

Last Results with these Odds

Gorée - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.53%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJEL de Rufisque
Senegal Ligue 1
25.01.26	Guédiawaye - AJEL de Rufisque	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Teungueth	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Stade de Mbour - AJEL de Rufisque	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Wally Daan	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Dakar SC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWTT
- US Gorée
Senegal Ligue 1
24.01.26	Gorée - Ouakam	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	HLM - Gorée	0:5 ✺
07.01.26	Gorée - Camberene	3:0 ✺
28.12.25	Gorée - Casa Sport	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Gorée - Pikine	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
09.02.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Gorée	1:0

AJEL de Rufisque - Gorée: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide