Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	APAFUT		Santa Cruz-RS

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.85	2.87
	2.35	2.92	2.8
	2.35	2.89	3.12
	2.35	2.9	2.8
	2.37	3.26	3.11
	2.36	2.95	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.45)	2.96 ↑ (2.85)	2.92 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APAFUT
38.4%

Draw
30.6%

Santa Cruz-RS
31%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

30.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

29.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APAFUT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Santa Cruz-RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APAFUT than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz-RS than the current prediction. (+2%)

APAFUT - Santa Cruz RS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Gaucho 2 Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 4th in the Promotion - Gaucho 2 Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, APAFUT has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APAFUT
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
27.09.26	APAFUT - Lajeadense	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Santa Cruz-RS - APAFUT	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	APAFUT - Frederiquense	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	APAFUT - EC Pelotas	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Brasil de Farroupilha - APAFUT	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTTWL
- Santa Cruz-RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
27.09.26	Gaúcho - Santa Cruz-RS	0:1 ✺
23.09.26	Santa Cruz-RS - APAFUT	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	EC Guarani - Santa Cruz-RS	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Santa Cruz-RS	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Santa Cruz-RS - Lajeadense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
23.09.26	Santa Cruz-RS - APAFUT	2:2

APAFUT - Santa Cruz-RS