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Current Win Probability
Santa Cruz-RS 46.4%
Draw 30.5%
APAFUT 23.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.1%
29%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
29.5%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz-RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
APAFUT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz-RS than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for APAFUT than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Santa Cruz RS - APAFUT Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 0-1.
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Gaucho 2 Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 5th in the Promotion - Gaucho 2 Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In recent outings, Santa Cruz-RS has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
APAFUT is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Santa Cruz-RS has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, APAFUT has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Santa Cruz-RS is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Santa Cruz-RS has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Santa Cruz-RS against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.
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