Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 13

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	APAFUT		Frederiquense

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.85	2.60
	2.62	2.85	2.55
	2.45	2.85	3.14
	2.6	2.85	2.79	Watch
	2.4	2.55	3.1
	2.54	3.02	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.55)	2.83 ↓ (2.9)	2.83 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APAFUT
35.9%

Draw
32.1%

Frederiquense
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

29.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29.6%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APAFUT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Frederiquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APAFUT than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frederiquense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

APAFUT - Frederiquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APAFUT
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
16.09.26	APAFUT - EC Pelotas	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Brasil de Farroupilha - APAFUT	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	EC Guarani - APAFUT	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	APAFUT - Aimoré	3:2 ✺
01.09.26	APAFUT - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWWT
- União Frederiquense de Futebol
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
16.09.26	GE Glória - Frederiquense	3:3 ✺
13.09.26	Frederiquense - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Lajeadense - Frederiquense	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Frederiquense - Santa Cruz-RS	0:0 ✺
01.09.26	Frederiquense - Veranopolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTWTW

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