Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Neo GSP Stadium (Nicosia)

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
China	iQIYI
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 11
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	FOX Sports 2
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	DAZN 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 11
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 9
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	APOEL		Celje

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	5
	1.7	3.75	5	Watch
	1.72	3.85	5.21
	1.68	3.9	5.08	Watch
	1.71	3.92	5.09
	1.7	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.93)	3.82 ↑ (3.55)	5.06 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

APOEL
56.2%

Draw
25%

Celje
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

27.4%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APOEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in APOEL's performance.

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with APOEL that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.4%	25%	5.6%

APOEL - Celje Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. APOEL will win (votes: 25 - 71.4%). Celje will win (votes: 2 - 5.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for APOEL: 56.4% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Belec V. (C) 16. Susic M. 8. Tejera S. 34. Laifis K. 18. Satsias G. 28. Galanopoulos K. 44. Sarfo K. 19. Quintilla X. 17. Abagna D. 20. Drazic S. 9. El Arabi Y.	41. Silva R. (G) 2. Juanjo Nieto 44. Bejger L. 81. Nemanic K. 23. Karnicnik Z. (C) 11. Seslar S. 19. Zabukovnik M. 88. Svetlin T. 7. Matko A. 47. Kucys A. 35. Delaurier-Chaubet L.
Substitutes
99. Alejo I. 32. Avramidis I. 91. Chattalas N. 22. Christodoulou A. (G) 90. Efthymiou V. 94. Hadjipavlis P. 23. Kattirtzis P. 2. Lysandrou N. A. 7. Meyer M. 78. Michos S. (G)	4. Dulca M. 30. Edmilson Santos 12. Kolar L. (G) 10. Kouter N. 16. Kvesic M. 5. Lhernault C. 3. Vuklisevic D.
Coaches
Calderon Malagon J.	Riera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Laifis K. 🟨,
17', Tejera S. 🟨,
19', Zabukovnik M. 🟨,
31', Abagna D. ↓, Kattirtzis P. ↑,
45+4', 0 - 1, Kucys A. ⚽, Seslar S. (A),
45+5', Drazic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, Svetlin T. ⚽, Seslar S. (A),
55', Sarfo K. ↓, Alejo I. ↑,
73', Kucys A. ↓, Edmilson Santos ↑,
80', Zabukovnik M. ↓, Dulca M. ↑,
86', Seslar S. 🟨,
86', Alejo I. ↓, Meyer M. ↑,
88', Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↓, Kvesic M. ↑,
90', Meyer M. 🟨,
90', Kvesic M. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Celje have a series of home games.

In this match APOEL is a favorite.

There will not play in APOEL: Antoniou E. (Inactive) Bah A. (Inactive) Cano L. (Inactive) Chebake I. (Yellow Cards) Dvali L. (Red Card) Gabriel Maioli (Inactive) Gabriel Pereira (Inactive) Karanatsios C. (Knee Injury) Petrovic R. (Face Injury) Pizzi (Inactive) Sotiriou P. (Inactive) Vitor Meer (Inactive)

There will not play in Celje: Ajhmajer N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in APOEL: Donis A. (Knee Injury) Marquinhos (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches APOEL won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APOEL
Cypriot First Division
16.02.25	AEL Limassol - APOEL	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.02.25	Celje - APOEL	2:2 ✺
Cypriot First Division
08.02.25	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	0:0 ✺
03.02.25	Anorthosis - APOEL	2:2 ✺
Cypriot Cup
30.01.25	APOEL - Paphos	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTTTL
- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
16.02.25	Mura - Celje	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.02.25	Celje - APOEL	2:2 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
08.02.25	Celje - Maribor	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Celje - NK Bravo	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.25	Celje - Široki Brijeg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
13.02.25	Celje - APOEL	2:2

Upcoming Matches