Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday


	APS Bomet		Ulinzi Stars

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.88	3.45
	2.63	2.9	2.91
	2.39	2.97	2.96	Watch
	2.6	2.69	2.8
	2.08	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.39)	2.87 ↓ (2.97)	3.12 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APS Bomet
38.8%

Draw
31.9%

Ulinzi Stars
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30.8%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

28.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APS Bomet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Ulinzi Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

APS Bomet - Ulinzi Stars Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ulinzi Stars will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - APS Bomet (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. APS Bomet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).

In recent matches, APS Bomet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ulinzi Stars is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Ulinzi Stars - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 30.91%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APS Bomet FC
Kenyan Premier League
09.11.25	APS Bomet - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Bidco United - APS Bomet	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	APS Bomet - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Kariobangi Sharks - APS Bomet	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	APS Bomet - Police FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTLWL
- Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League
09.11.25	Ulinzi Stars - Shabana	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gor Mahia - Ulinzi Stars	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	Ulinzi Stars - Bidco United	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Ulinzi Stars	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ulinzi Stars - Mara Sugar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLL

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