Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Gor Mahia		Ulinzi Stars

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.1	6.3
	1.72	3.35	4.68	Watch
	1.63	3.18	5.77
	1.55	3.25	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.64)	3.22 ↓ (3.4)	5.69 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gor Mahia
55.9%

Draw
28.1%

Ulinzi Stars
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

26.4%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.2%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ulinzi Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Gor Mahia - Ulinzi Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Oluoch F. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Muchiri B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 3.

Gor Mahia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ulinzi Stars's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ulinzi Stars may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gor Mahia is considered a favorite.

We predict that Gor Mahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 9 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gor Mahia won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
30.10.25	Mathare United - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Gor Mahia - Posta Rangers	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Kenya CB - Gor Mahia	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sofapaka - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Gor Mahia - Bidco United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWL
- Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League
29.10.25	Ulinzi Stars - Bidco United	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Ulinzi Stars	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ulinzi Stars - Mara Sugar	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Police FC - Ulinzi Stars	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Ulinzi Stars - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
15.06.25	Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia	2:3
18.12.24	Gor Mahia - Ulinzi Stars	3:0
10.02.24	Gor Mahia - Ulinzi Stars	0:0
02.09.23	Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia	0:1
18.02.23	Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia	1:1
05.03.22	Gor Mahia - Ulinzi Stars	2:1
03.11.21	Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia	0:0

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