Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	APS Bomet		Mathare United

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.82	3.05
	2.5	2.73	2.94
	2.16	3.12	3.23	Watch
	2.31	3.19	2.98
	2.09	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.12)	2.99 ↓ (3.14)	3.07 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APS Bomet
40%

Draw
30.4%

Mathare United
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28.2%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APS Bomet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Mathare United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

APS Bomet - Mathare United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Mathare United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

APS Bomet will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APS Bomet FC
Kenyan Premier League
02.11.25	Bidco United - APS Bomet	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	APS Bomet - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Kariobangi Sharks - APS Bomet	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	APS Bomet - Police FC	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	APS Bomet - Muranga Seal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWLL
- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
02.11.25	AFC Leopards - Mathare United	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Mathare United - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Shabana - Mathare United	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Tusker - Mathare United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLWLT

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