Match Info

IFA Shield - Play Offs - Final

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan (Kolkata)


	ATK Mohun Bagan		East Bengal

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.40	1.71
	2.6	2.88	2.75
	2.95	3.12	2.31
	2.55	2.85	2.6
	2.61	3.32	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.24)	3.11 ↓ (3.4)	2.39 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ATK Mohun Bagan
31.4%

Draw
29.8%

East Bengal
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ATK Mohun Bagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ATK Mohun Bagan's form might have worsened.

East Bengal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting East Bengal's recent form is better than expected.

ATK Mohun Bagan - East Bengal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Zeljkovic S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mohun Bagan won 3.

Performances by East Bengal have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Mohun Bagan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to East Bengal for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mohun Bagan has recorded 14 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:11 (averaging 1.5:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mohun Bagan against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:9 goals (averaging 1.3:0.9 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ATK Mohun Bagan
Indian IFA Shield
04.10.26	ATK Mohun Bagan - Punjab	1:0 penalties ✺
29.09.26	ATK Mohun Bagan - NorthEast United	1:1 ✺
23.09.26	ATK Mohun Bagan - Sreenidi Deccan	6:0 ✺
Indian Durand Cup
20.08.26	ATK Mohun Bagan - NorthEast United	1:0 penalties ✺
25.07.26	East Bengal - ATK Mohun Bagan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWWW
- East Bengal Club
Indian IFA Shield
05.10.26	East Bengal - NorthEast United	7:2 ✺
30.09.26	East Bengal - Punjab	0:1 ✺
Calcutta Premier Division
19.09.26	Coal India - East Bengal	0:7 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
16.09.26	Al-Hussein Irbid - East Bengal	2:2 ✺
Calcutta Premier Division
14.09.26	East Bengal - Mohammedan Kolkata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Indian Durand Cup
25.07.26	East Bengal - ATK Mohun Bagan	0:1
Indian ISL
17.05.26	ATK Mohun Bagan - East Bengal	1:1
Indian Super Cup
31.10.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - East Bengal	0:0
Indian IFA Shield
18.10.25	East Bengal - ATK Mohun Bagan	1:2 penalties
Indian ISL
11.01.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - East Bengal	1:0
19.10.24	East Bengal - ATK Mohun Bagan	0:2
Indian Durand Cup
18.08.24	ATK Mohun Bagan - East Bengal	Canceled

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