Match Info

USL League One

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Lancaster Municipal Stadium (Lancaster, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	AV Alta		New York Cosmos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.4	3.6
	1.7	3.7	3.95
	1.74	3.98	3.95
	1.75	4.07	3.98	Watch
	1.73	3.6	3.75
	1.7	3.84	3.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.75)	3.77 ↑ (3.65)	3.86 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AV Alta
52.3%

Draw
24.2%

New York Cosmos
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

24.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.9%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

New York Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

AV Alta - New York Cosmos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Smith D. (G) 3. Ortiz A. 44. Pehlivanov K. 16. Ceja E. 2. Ortiz C. 6. Lay O. 21. Villalobos J. 20. Antwi G. 10. Ibarra M. (C) 18. Aoumaich A. 99. Bahena Jr C.	26. Garcia J. (G) 24. Noecker W. 25. Chavez J. 6. Holt A. 5. Cabrera N. 20. Mendonca N. 8. Spengler A. 28. Milovanov J. 18. Koffi C. 13. Guenzatti S. 19. Jawneh L.
Substitutes
5. Alassane M. 19. Anderson C. 11. Aoumaich I. 7. Desdunes J. 27. Doumbia D. (G) 24. Higareda S. 32. Jahng E. 4. Pajaro M. 12. Relerford N.	22. Bohui P. 1. Chan D. (G) 17. Galazzini D. 7. Guarino L. 2. Morabito M. 14. Puentes A. 11. Zielonka N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Antwi G. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Aoumaich A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ortiz A. ↓, Relerford N. ↑,
46', Noecker W. ↓, Morabito M. ↑,
55', 3 - 0, Aoumaich A. ⚽,
57', Guenzatti S. 🟨,
60', Aoumaich A. 🟨,
66', Antwi G. ↓, Higareda S. ↑,
66', Ibarra M. ↓, Anderson C. ↑,
71', 4 - 0, Higareda S. ⚽, Aoumaich A. (A),
73', Jawneh L. ↓, Bohui P. ↑,
73', Milovanov J. ↓, Galazzini D. ↑,
73', Guenzatti S. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
75', Smith D. ↓, Doumbia D. ↑,
77', Spengler A. ↓, Guarino L. ↑,
77', Aoumaich A. ↓, Jahng E. ↑,
79', Ortiz C. 🟨,
83', Mendonca N. 🟨,
88', Bohui P. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Alta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alta is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	AV Alta	29	8	8	13	35:42	-7	32
15	New York Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36:56	-20	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AV Alta FC
USL League One
16.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - AV Alta	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	AV Alta - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	New Mexico United - AV Alta	2:1 ✺
USL League One
11.04.26	AV Alta - Boise	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Spokane Velocity - AV Alta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLTL
- New York Cosmos
USL Cup
15.05.26	Westchester SC - New York Cosmos	2:3 ✺
USL League One
02.05.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - New York Cosmos	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	New York Cosmos - Brooklyn	0:3 ✺
USL League One
19.04.26	New York Cosmos - Forward Madison	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	New York Cosmos - Charlotte Independence	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLTW

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