Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park (Albuquerque, NM)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	New Mexico United		AV Alta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.55	4.45
	1.65	3.65	4.46
	1.57	4.08	5.00	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.5
	1.66	3.58	4.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.48)	3.63 ↓ (4.1)	4.6 ↓ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

New Mexico United
55.3%

Draw
25%

AV Alta
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22.7%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

20.7%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.

AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AV Alta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

New Mexico United - AV Alta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Shakes K. (G) 15. Jabang O. 16. Seymore W. (C) 27. Howell M. 2. Hamalainen N. 21. Noel V. 19. Bailey Z. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 17. LaCava J. 5. Harris D. 10. Hurst G.	22. Smith D. (G) 12. Relerford N. 4. Pajaro M. 44. Pehlivanov K. 2. Ortiz C. 7. Desdunes J. 5. Alassane M. 6. Lay O. 18. Aoumaich A. 19. Anderson C. 11. Aoumaich I.
Substitutes
29. Archimede L. 56. Arozarena R. (G) 24. Blackett T. 48. Gilchrist G. 11. Nava C. 9. Rennicks J. 54. Wente T. (G) 28. Wilkerson C. 6. Zelalem G.	20. Antwi G. 99. Bahena Jr C. 16. Ceja E. 27. Doumbia D. (G) 24. Higareda S. 10. Ibarra M. 3. Ortiz A. 23. Thomas R. 21. Villalobos J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Desdunes J. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Aoumaich A. ⚽, Ortiz C. (A),
21', Alassane M. 🟨,
28', Aoumaich I. ↓, Antwi G. ↑,
36', 1 - 1, Harris D. ⚽, Hurst G. (A),
37', Lay O. 🟨,
45+3', LaCava J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Pehlivanov K. 🟨,
57', Bailey Z. 🟨,
57', Harris D. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
57', Noel V. ↓, Wilkerson C. ↑,
61', Aoumaich A. ↓, Bahena Jr C. ↑,
61', Anderson C. ↓, Ibarra M. ↑,
64', Desdunes J. 🟨,
70', Jabang O. ↓, Zelalem G. ↑,
70', LaCava J. ↓, Blackett T. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Rennicks J. ⚽,
78', Howell M. 🟨,
81', Lay O. ↓, Villalobos J. ↑,
81', Alassane M. ↓, Thomas R. ↑,
86', Pajaro M. 🟨,
90', Hurst G. ↓, Nava C. ↑,

Preview

New Mexico has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Alta has had a series of home games.

In this match, New Mexico is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Mexico United
USL Championship
11.04.26	Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Orange County SC - New Mexico United	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	0:4 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	New Mexico United - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	San Antonio - New Mexico United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWL
- AV Alta FC
USL League One
11.04.26	AV Alta - Boise	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Spokane Velocity - AV Alta	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	AV Alta - Union Omaha	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	AV Alta - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	AV Alta - Portland Hearts of Pine	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLTT

Upcoming Matches