Match Info

1st Division - Round 22

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Aalborg Portland Park (Aalborg)

Referee: Rasmussen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Aalborg BK		Esbjerg

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.5	3.4
	2.1	3.4	3.1
	2.26	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.32	3.57	2.96
	2.25	3.63	2.88	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.8
	2.28	3.42	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.16)	3.47 ↑ (3.44)	3 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg BK
42.3%

Draw
26.8%

Esbjerg
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.9%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Esbjerg aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Aalborg BK - Esbjerg Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aalborg will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Esbjerg will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalborg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller V. (G) 3. Andersson A. 4. Tiedemann B. (C) 15. Olsson C. 24. Arnorsson N. 28. Moller V. 26. Bonde M. 8. Hapnes A. 27. John K. 11. Hansen K. 7. Adedeji J.	21. McCrorie R. (G) 4. Tjornelund P. 3. Skipper A. (C) 25. Renecke W. 19. Strand S. 12. Lausen A. 18. Hansen M. 11. Bjur P. 8. Maden M. 39. Strandby N. 80. Brajanac M.
Substitutes
25. Borsting F. 40. Gronkjaer B. (G) 9. Helenius N. 38. Jorgensen T. 18. Maarup A. 33. Makolli E. 5. Nielsen M. 32. Tcacenco C. 44. Thomsen W.	31. Bennedsgaard J. H. 32. Blicher N. 5. Foss J. 22. Hvidt B. 14. Kolawole J. 16. Kristensen K. (G) 40. Larsen E. 17. Lucena J. 15. Sonderskov A.
Coaches
Hojer S.	Manoharan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Strandby N. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
22', 0 - 1, Kolawole J. ⚽, Bjur P. (A),
45+2', Bonde M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Adedeji J. ↓, Helenius N. ↑,
60', Strand S. 🟨,
66', Arnorsson N. 🟨,
68', Maden M. ↓, Hvidt B. ↑,
76', Arnorsson N. ↓, Maarup A. ↑,
76', Moller V. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
77', Bjur P. ↓, Bennedsgaard J. H. ↑,
78', Kolawole J. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
78', Hansen M. ↓, Sonderskov A. ↑,
80', Sonderskov A. 🟨,
85', John K. ↓, Thomsen W. ↑,
85', Hapnes A. ↓, Borsting F. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Hansen K. ⚽, Thomsen W. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

Esbjerg is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 1.

Aalborg has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Esbjerg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalborg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Aalborg: 4.87% Esbjerg: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aalborg	9	3	4	2	11:11	0	13
12	Esbjerg	9	1	2	6	10:19	-9	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division
14.03.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Aalborg BK - Aarhus Fremad	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Aalborg BK - Hillerød	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
20.02.26	Sandefjord - Aalborg BK	4:0 ✺
16.02.26	Aalborg BK - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Esbjerg fB
Danish 1 Division
15.03.26	Esbjerg - Hillerød	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	HB Køge - Esbjerg	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Esbjerg - Horsens	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.02.26	Esbjerg - Zimbru Chişinău	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Middelfart - Esbjerg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
19.08.25	Esbjerg - Aalborg BK	1:0
Danish Landspokal Cup
30.10.24	Esbjerg - Aalborg BK	0:2
Club Friendly
30.06.21	Aalborg BK - Esbjerg	0:0
19.08.20	Esbjerg - Aalborg BK	2:1
Danish Superliga
31.05.20	Esbjerg - Aalborg BK	1:1
11.08.19	Aalborg BK - Esbjerg	4:0
30.11.18	Esbjerg - Aalborg BK	1:4

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