Match Info

1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 25

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Aalborg Portland Park (Aalborg)

Referee: Kristoffersen M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Aalborg BK		Aarhus Fremad

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.4	2.25
	2.75	3.5	2.37	Watch
	2.87	3.71	2.38
	2.64	3.63	2.44	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.25
	2.9	3.43	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.39)	3.5 ↑ (3.27)	2.34 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg BK
33.5%

Draw
26.6%

Aarhus Fremad
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.2%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.9%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aarhus Fremad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aalborg BK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aarhus Fremad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Aalborg BK - Aarhus Fremad Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Aalborg will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Gronkjaer B. (G) 18. Maarup A. 33. Makolli E. 15. Olsson C. 5. Nielsen M. 7. Adedeji J. 8. Hapnes A. 25. Borsting F. (C) 11. Hansen K. 14. Kubel M. 9. Helenius N.	1. Kiilerich K. (G) 20. Hjaltason O. 4. Pisani A. 33. Callo L. 10. Kirchheiner M. (C) 6. Grube F. 8. Baekgard S. 3. Agnarsson M. 28. Egerton E. 9. Andersen K. 7. Kaastrup M.
Substitutes
35. Amankwah E. 3. Andersson A. 24. Arnorsson N. 26. Bonde M. 27. John K. 2. Kallesoe M. 1. Muller V. (G) 32. Tcacenco C. 44. Thomsen W.	30. Hojbjerg V. (G) 16. Holvad A. 27. Kirchheiner M. 2. Kjolby M. 11. Lunding K. 22. Ostergaard J. 47. Riisgaard L. 19. Rolland B. 12. Ryberg M.
Coaches
Hojer S.	Dahm Kjaergaard M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', Hjaltason O. 🟨,
7', Agnarsson M. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Helenius N. (Penalty Awarded),
12', 1 - 1, Kaastrup M. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Hansen K. ⚽, Helenius N. (A),
42', 3 - 1, Adedeji J. ⚽, Helenius N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hjaltason O. ↓, Kirchheiner M. ↑,
60', Kubel M. ↓, John K. ↑,
60', Adedeji J. ↓, Bonde M. ↑,
62', Pisani A. ↓, Riisgaard L. ↑,
73', Andersen K. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Egerton E. ↓, Holvad A. ↑,
78', Agnarsson M. ↓, Lunding K. ↑,
82', Nielsen M. ↓, Arnorsson N. ↑,
82', Helenius N. ↓, Kallesoe M. ↑,
86', Baekgard S. ↓, Ryberg M. ↑,
88', Hansen K. ↓, Thomsen W. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Aalborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Aalborg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Aalborg: 4.87% Aarhus Fremad: 3.94%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Aarhus Fremad	9	3	4	2	10:9	1	13
5	Aalborg	9	3	4	2	11:11	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division
10.04.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Middelfart - Aalborg BK	2:5 ✺
21.03.26	Aalborg BK - Esbjerg	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Aalborg BK - Aarhus Fremad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTLL
- Aarhus Fremad
Danish 1 Division
11.04.26	Aarhus Fremad - B.93 Copenhagen	3:1 ✺
06.04.26	HB Køge - Aarhus Fremad	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Hillerød - Aarhus Fremad	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Aarhus Fremad - Horsens	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Aalborg BK - Aarhus Fremad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
06.03.26	Aalborg BK - Aarhus Fremad	0:1
29.08.25	Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK	5:1

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