Match Info

DENMARK: SUPERLIGA - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 24

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: Aalborg Portland Park (Aalborg)

Referee: Graagaard L. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Aalborg BK		OB Odense

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.2
	2.15	3.65	3.2
	2.21	3.6	3.31
				Watch
	2.16	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.18	3.5	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.38)	3.54 ↑ (3.38)	3.21 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg BK
43.6%

Draw
26.8%

OB Odense
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27.6%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.5%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

OB Odense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OB Odense than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Aalborg BK - OB Odense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aalborg will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Aalborg has the most likely position - 11 (36.7%), project points - 30, currently - 18, a good chance of relegated (66%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Odense has the most likely position - 9 (55.86%), project points - 40, currently - 28, a very small chance of relegated (5%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 33, importance 37, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalborg won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Odense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aalborg will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 32 head-to-head matches Aalborg won 13 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 47-43.

Including matches at home between the teams Aalborg won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg BK
Danish Landspokal Cup
06.04.23	Viborg - Aalborg BK	1:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
02.04.23	Horsens - Aalborg BK	0:4 ✺
19.03.23	Aalborg BK - Randers FC	0:1 ✺
10.03.23	OB Odense - Aalborg BK	2:1 ✺
06.03.23	Aalborg BK - Midtjylland	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLT
- OB Odense
Danish Superliga
31.03.23	OB Odense - Midtjylland	1:3 ✺
19.03.23	AGF Aarhus - OB Odense	1:0 ✺
10.03.23	OB Odense - Aalborg BK	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Copenhagen - OB Odense	7:0 ✺
24.02.23	Nordsjælland - OB Odense	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
10.03.23	OB Odense - Aalborg BK	2:1
30.09.22	Aalborg BK - OB Odense	1:1
14.03.22	OB Odense - Aalborg BK	2:3
17.09.21	Aalborg BK - OB Odense	2:0
07.05.21	OB Odense - Aalborg BK	1:0
21.04.21	Aalborg BK - OB Odense	3:2
21.03.21	Aalborg BK - OB Odense	0:2

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