Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday


	Aalesunds 2		Ørn-Horten

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.8	3.95	3.48
	1.68	3.89	3.48
	1.73	3.6	3.7
	1.67	4.1	3.88
	1.81	3.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.2)	3.85 ↓ (4)	3.63 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds 2
51.7%

Draw
23.5%

Ørn-Horten
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

22.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

22.1%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aalesunds 2's performance.

Ørn-Horten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ørn-Horten might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds 2 than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aalesunds 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ørn-Horten could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aalesunds 2 - Ørn Horten Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Lansing M. (G) 29. Atanga I. 21. Breivik C. 34. Diop M. 32. Ebiye M. 3. Hagen I. 4. Haram S. 33. Holte S. (C) 25. Kilen S. 20. Kolve E. 30. Solnordal O.	1. Solberg K. (G) 16. Falchener H. 22. Forsund A. (C) 19. Hamde D. 17. Hargott C. 11. Helling G. 8. Knutsen T. 2. Nilsen S. 5. Pop S. 9. Rogulj A. 3. Sjol J.
Substitutes
13. Bjornevik E. 24. Gulbrandsen T. 11. Hjelle M. 5. Odemarksbakken K. 16. Roth S. 31. Wdowiak H.	25. Bamenye Bizoza F. 24. Gosal V. D. 14. Krawiec A. 12. Lille T. (G) 27. Skulstad-Hansen E.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent matches Aalesunds 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ørn-Horten is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ørn-Horten could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aalesunds 2 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aalesunds 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK 2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.10.23	Lyn - Aalesunds 2	4:0 ✺
01.10.23	Aalesunds 2 - Arendal	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Brattvåg - Aalesunds 2	2:1 ✺
18.09.23	Aalesunds 2 - Vard Haugesund	1:0 ✺
07.09.23	Aalesunds 2 - Brattvåg	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTLWT
- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
08.10.23	Ørn-Horten - Træff	2:3 ✺
30.09.23	Ørn-Horten - Lyn	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	Vard Haugesund - Ørn-Horten	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Ørn-Horten - Arendal	1:3 ✺
03.09.23	Brattvåg - Ørn-Horten	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
11.07.23	Ørn-Horten - Aalesunds 2	1:2

Aalesunds 2 - Ørn-Horten: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide