Match Info

Premiership - Round 25

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen)

Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Aberdeen		Celtic

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.57	Watch
	5.75	4.6	1.47
	4.7	4.15	1.62	Watch
	5.12	4.34	1.64
	5.12	4.31	1.6	Watch
	4.8	4	1.62
	5.4	4.11	1.63	Watch
	6.5	4.75	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.3 ↑ (5.15)	4.28 ↑ (4.02)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberdeen
17.8%

Draw
22.1%

Celtic
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

22.9%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

22.3%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	3.7%	81.5%

Aberdeen - Celtic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Celtic (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1.5 - Aberdeen (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Celtic will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celtic will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Celtic (votes: 14 - 93.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitov D. (G) 28. Jensen A. 22. Milne J. 6. Nilsen S. 21. Molloy G. 3. Frame M. 25. Cameron L. 8. Geiger D. 16. Armstrong S. 15. Nisbet K. (C) 20. Olusanya T.	12. Sinisalo V. (G) 22. Araujo J. 43. Arthur B. 5. Scales L. 63. Tierney K. 42. McGregor C. (C) 41. Hatate R. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun 14. McCowan L. 23. Tounekti S. 11. Cvancara T.
Substitutes
14. Bilalovic K. 77. Gyamfi E. 81. Keskinen T. 29. Kjartansson K. 27. Lazetic M. 38. Lobban D. 23. Morrison L. 4. Shinnie G. 41. Vitols R. (G)	9. Adamu J. 51. Donovan C. 31. Doohan R. (G) 49. Forrest J. 38. Maeda D. 8. Nygren B. 21. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. 36. Saracchi M.
Coaches
Leven P.	O'Neill Ma.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Tierney K. ⚽, Scales L. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Nisbet K. (Penalty Awarded),
26', Nilsen S. 🟨,
41', Olusanya T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Cvancara T. ↓, Nygren B. ↑,
61', McCowan L. ↓, Maeda D. ↑,
62', Olusanya T. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
62', Nilsen S. ↓, Morrison L. ↑,
65', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Forrest J. ↑,
65', Tierney K. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Nygren B. ⚽, Forrest J. (A),
69', Geiger D. ↓, Shinnie G. ↑,
76', Forrest J. 🟨,
79', Milne J. ↓, Lobban D. ↑,
80', Jensen A. ↓, Keskinen T. ↑,
87', Araujo J. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
89', Hatate R. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 1.

Aberdeen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Celtic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aberdeen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Celtic is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Aberdeen: Molloy G. (Knee Injury) Shinnie G. (Red Card) Suman N. (Ankle Injury) Tobers K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Celtic: Carter-Vickers C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Johnston A. (Hamstring Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Osmand C. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Aberdeen: Afeez A. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 17:59. (average 0.9:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Aberdeen won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1.1:2.2).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Celtic: 51.13% Aberdeen: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Celtic	8	7	0	1	16:4	12	21
8	Aberdeen	8	2	2	4	7:9	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
28.02.26	Hearts - Aberdeen	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Dundee United - Aberdeen	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Aberdeen - Dundee	2:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.02.26	Aberdeen - Motherwell	2:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
15.02.26	Motherwell - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLWL
- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
01.03.26	Glasgow Rangers - Celtic	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Stuttgart - Celtic	0:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
22.02.26	Celtic - Hibernian	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Celtic - Stuttgart	1:4 ✺
Scottish Premier League
15.02.26	Kilmarnock - Celtic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
21.12.25	Celtic - Aberdeen	3:1
10.08.25	Aberdeen - Celtic	0:2
Scottish Cup
24.05.25	Aberdeen - Celtic	2:1 penalties
Scottish Premier League
14.05.25	Aberdeen - Celtic	1:5
25.02.25	Celtic - Aberdeen	5:1
04.12.24	Aberdeen - Celtic	0:1
Scottish League Cup
02.11.24	Celtic - Aberdeen	6:0

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