Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stuttgart		Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.33	6	7.5
	1.4	5.25	7
	1.38	5.55	7.6
	1.33	6.11	8.09
	1.33	6.03	7.86	Watch
	1.3	5	7.5
	1.36	6.11	7.64
	1.45	4.2	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.46)	5.53 ↑ (4.54)	7.59 ↑ (6.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
70.2%

Draw
17.3%

Celtic
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

20.9%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20.4%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stuttgart's performance.

Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	10.3%	5.1%

Stuttgart - Celtic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Stuttgart (1.11) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Celtic (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stuttgart will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Celtic (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 4. Vagnoman J. 29. Jeltsch F. 14. Jaquez L. 7. Mittelstadt M. 16. Karazor A. (C) 30. Andres C. 27. Bouanani B. 8. Tomas T. 18. Leweling J. 26. Undav D.	12. Sinisalo V. (G) 51. Donovan C. 6. Trusty A. 47. Murray D. 36. Saracchi M. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun 42. McGregor C. (C) 41. Hatate R. 38. Maeda D. 9. Adamu J. 14. McCowan L.
Substitutes
2. Al Dakhil A. 22. Assignon L. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 35. Catovic M. 9. Demirovic E. 11. El Khannouss B. 10. Fuhrich C. 44. Hellstern F. (G) 3. Hendriks R. 28. Nartey N. 6. Stiller A.	28. Bernardo P. 11. Cvancara T. 49. Forrest J. 52. Hatton T. 17. Iheanacho K. 50. Mcardle S. 8. Nygren B. 56. Ralston A. 5. Scales L. 1. Schmeichel K. (G) 63. Tierney K. 23. Tounekti S.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	O'Neill Ma.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, McCowan L. ⚽, Adamu J. (A),
45', Donovan C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Leweling J. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
55', Adamu J. ↓, Cvancara T. ↑,
56', Donovan C. ↓, Ralston A. ↑,
64', Tomas T. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
64', Andres C. ↓, Stiller A. ↑,
68', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Nygren B. ↑,
68', McCowan L. ↓, Tounekti S. ↑,
72', Jaquez L. ↓, Hendriks R. ↑,
78', Hatate R. ↓, Iheanacho K. ↑,
85', Bouanani B. ↓, El Khannouss B. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 4-1. Second leg.

Stuttgart is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Celtic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Stuttgart has had a series of away games.

Recently, Celtic has had a series of home games.

In this match, Stuttgart is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Chabot J. (Yellow Cards) Darvich N. (Inactive) Drljaca S. (Inactive) Jeremy Arevalo (Inactive) Stenzel P. (Inactive) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Celtic: Arthur B. (Inactive) Balikwisha M. (Inactive) Carter-Vickers C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Engels A. (Injury) Holm O. T. (Inactive) Johnston A. (Hamstring Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Montgomery A. (Inactive) Mvuka Mugisha J. (Inactive) Osmand C. (Hamstring Injury) Oxlade-Chamberlain A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Diehl J. (Injury) Herwerth M. (Injury) Jovanovic L. (Back Injury) Stiller A. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stuttgart won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Celtic: 1.06%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
28	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
22.02.26	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Celtic - Stuttgart	1:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
14.02.26	Stuttgart - Köln	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	St. Pauli - Stuttgart	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWLW
- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
22.02.26	Celtic - Hibernian	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Celtic - Stuttgart	1:4 ✺
Scottish Premier League
15.02.26	Kilmarnock - Celtic	2:3 ✺
11.02.26	Celtic - Livingston	2:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
07.02.26	Celtic - Dundee	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Celtic - Stuttgart	1:4

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