Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Celtic Park (Glasgow)

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
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Australia	Stan Sport
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Denmark	Disney+
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France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
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Germany	RTL, RTL+, RTL Nitro
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Turkey	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
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Uruguay	Disney+
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Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab
World	Sport 24, VIX App


	Celtic		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.9	1.9
	3.75	3.75	1.98
	3.92	3.81	1.95
	3.62	3.86	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.91
	3.89	3.92	1.99
	3.8	3.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.35)	3.79 ↑ (3.68)	1.94 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celtic
25.5%

Draw
25.2%

Stuttgart
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

25.8%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

25.4%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.3%	13.6%	66.1%

Celtic - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 12 - 20.3%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 39 - 66.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 54% – 78.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Celtic (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Stuttgart (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Stuttgart (1.43) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 9 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH 0 - Celtic (2.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Celtic (1.88) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Stuttgart (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Celtic (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Stuttgart (votes: 20 - 60.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmeichel K. (G) 22. Araujo J. 6. Trusty A. 5. Scales L. 63. Tierney K. 28. Bernardo P. 42. McGregor C. (C) 8. Nygren B. 38. Maeda D. 11. Cvancara T. 23. Tounekti S.	33. Nubel A. (G) 4. Vagnoman J. 29. Jeltsch F. 24. Chabot J. 3. Hendriks R. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 11. El Khannouss B. 26. Undav D. 18. Leweling J. 9. Demirovic E.
Substitutes
9. Adamu J. 51. Donovan C. 31. Doohan R. (G) 49. Forrest J. 41. Hatate R. 17. Iheanacho K. 14. McCowan L. 47. Murray D. 56. Ralston A. 36. Saracchi M. 12. Sinisalo V. (G) 13. Yang Hyun-Jun	2. Al Dakhil A. 30. Andres C. 22. Assignon L. 27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 10. Fuhrich C. 44. Hellstern F. (G) 14. Jaquez L. 7. Mittelstadt M. 28. Nartey N. 8. Tomas T.
Coaches
O'Neill Ma.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, El Khannouss B. ⚽, Undav D. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Nygren B. ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, El Khannouss B. ⚽, Stiller A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Chabot J. 🟨,
57', 1 - 3, Leweling J. ⚽, Undav D. (A),
62', Bernardo P. ↓, Hatate R. ↑,
62', Maeda D. ↓, Yang Hyun-Jun ↑,
71', Nygren B. ↓, McCowan L. ↑,
71', Cvancara T. ↓, Iheanacho K. ↑,
71', El Khannouss B. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
71', Leweling J. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
78', Tierney K. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
78', Demirovic E. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
78', Chabot J. ↓, Jaquez L. ↑,
90+1', Stiller A. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 4, Tomas T. ⚽, Nartey N. (A),

Preview

First leg.

Celtic has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Stuttgart is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Celtic has had a series of home games.

Stuttgart could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Celtic: Arthur B. (Inactive) Carter-Vickers C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Engels A. (Injury) Holm O. T. (Inactive) Johnston A. (Hamstring Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Montgomery A. (Inactive) Mvuka Mugisha J. (Inactive) Osmand C. (Hamstring Injury) Oxlade-Chamberlain A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Stuttgart: Darvich N. (Inactive) Diehl J. (Inactive) Drljaca S. (Inactive) Jeremy Arevalo (Inactive) Jovanovic L. (Back Injury) Stenzel P. (Inactive) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Jaquez L. (Illness) Nartey N. (Knock)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Celtic: 1.06%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
28	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0

Last Results with these Odds

Stuttgart - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.86%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
15.02.26	Kilmarnock - Celtic	2:3 ✺
11.02.26	Celtic - Livingston	2:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
07.02.26	Celtic - Dundee	2:1 ET ✺
Scottish Premier League
01.02.26	Celtic - Falkirk	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Celtic - Utrecht	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW
- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
14.02.26	Stuttgart - Köln	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	St. Pauli - Stuttgart	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.02.26	Stuttgart - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Stuttgart - Young Boys	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW

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