Match Info

Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 36

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen)

Referee: Nicolson D. (Sco)


	Aberdeen		Dundee United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.25
	2.18	3.35	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.51	3.46
	2.21	3.29	3.38	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.4
	2.15	3.35	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.28)	3.35 ↑ (3.19)	3.34 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberdeen
43.8%

Draw
28.1%

Dundee United
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

30.7%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Dundee United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Aberdeen - Dundee United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aberdeen will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Dundee Utd will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitov D. (G) 22. Milne J. 5. Knoester M. 23. Morrison L. 21. Molloy G. 32. Afeez A. 8. Geiger D. 77. Gyamfi E. 16. Armstrong S. 20. Olusanya T. 15. Nisbet K. (C)	25. Richards D. (G) 4. Iovu I. 6. Graham R. (C) 23. Keresztes K. 2. Strain R. 5. Sevelj V. 12. Agyei E. 11. Ferry W. 20. Farrugia N. 22. Naamo D. 9. Sapsford Z.
Substitutes
14. Bilalovic K. 42. Bwomono E. 25. Cameron L. 2. Devlin N. 3. Frame M. 81. Keskinen T. 18. Palaversa A. 4. Shinnie G. 13. Suman N. (G)	31. Adams R. (G) 8. Camara P. 37. Cleall-Harding S. 19. Dolcek I. 10. Eskesen J. 77. Russell J. 14. Sibbald C. 34. Stirton O. 36. Watters M.
Coaches
Robinson S.	Goodwin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Iovu I. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Armstrong S. ⚽, Olusanya T. (A),
27', Agyei E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Keresztes K. ↓, Watters M. ↑,
46', Naamo D. ↓, Eskesen J. ↑,
57', Farrugia N. ↓, Dolcek I. ↑,
61', Geiger D. 🟨,
63', Dolcek I. 🟨,
66', Geiger D. ↓, Shinnie G. ↑,
66', Gyamfi E. ↓, Frame M. ↑,
73', Strain R. 🟨,
75', Armstrong S. ↓, Cameron L. ↑,
75', Milne J. ↓, Devlin N. ↑,
79', Sapsford Z. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
79', Sevelj V. ↓, Camara P. ↑,
82', Afeez A. ↓, Palaversa A. ↑,
84', Agyei E. 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, Olusanya T. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Aberdeen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aberdeen might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Aberdeen: McIntyre T. (Inactive) Suman N. (Ankle Injury) Tobers K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Dundee Utd: Fatah A. (Hamstring Injury) Maynard-Brewer A. (Shoulder Injury) Pappoe I. (Knee Injury) Stephenson L. (Hamstring Injury) Trapanovski K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Aberdeen: Devlin N. (Knee Injury) Gyamfi E. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Aberdeen won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Dundee Utd: 0.59% Aberdeen: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Dundee Utd	8	3	2	3	10:11	-1	11
8	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Aberdeen - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.46%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
01.05.26	Livingston - Aberdeen	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Aberdeen - Kilmarnock	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Aberdeen - Hibernian	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	St. Mirren - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Glasgow Rangers - Aberdeen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWLL
- Dundee United
Scottish Premier League
02.05.26	Kilmarnock - Dundee United	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Dundee United - Dundee	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Dundee United - Livingston	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Glasgow Rangers - Dundee United	4:2 ✺
22.03.26	Dundee United - Celtic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
24.02.26	Dundee United - Aberdeen	0:0
27.12.25	Aberdeen - Dundee United	1:1
23.09.25	Dundee United - Aberdeen	2:0
17.05.25	Dundee United - Aberdeen	2:1
02.03.25	Aberdeen - Dundee United	2:2
29.12.24	Dundee United - Aberdeen	1:0
26.10.24	Aberdeen - Dundee United	1:0

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