Match Info

Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 37

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tannadice Park (Dundee)

Referee: Irvine G. (Sco)


	Dundee United		Livingston

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.1	4.33	Watch
	1.68	3.95	4.45	Watch
	1.73	4.26	4.72
	1.73	4.12	4.29	Watch
	1.73	3.9	4.2
	1.68	4.1	4.4	Watch
	1.62	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.65)	4.06 ↑ (4)	4.45 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dundee United
55.7%

Draw
23.2%

Livingston
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

22.5%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundee United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Dundee United - Livingston Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dundee Utd will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Livingston will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dundee Utd: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dundee Utd (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Richards D. (G) 37. Cleall-Harding S. 3. Esselink B. 6. Graham R. (C) 2. Strain R. 5. Sevelj V. 8. Camara P. 11. Ferry W. 20. Farrugia N. 9. Sapsford Z. 77. Russell J.	28. Prior J. (G) 2. Kerr C. 23. Kabongolo B. 19. Finlayson D. 26. Montano C. 25. Tait M. 20. Danso E. 15. Smith L. 8. Pittman S. (C) 17. May S. 9. Muirhead R.
Substitutes
31. Adams R. (G) 39. Constable S. 19. Dolcek I. 10. Eskesen J. 4. Iovu I. 23. Keresztes K. 14. Sibbald C. 34. Stirton O. 36. Watters M.	36. Culbert S. 6. Denholm A. 3. Fati B. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 40. Lawal S. 10. McKay B. 24. Sylla M. 27. Wilson D. 29. Zimmerman J.
Coaches
Goodwin J.	Arfield S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Kerr C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Danso E. 🟨,
62', Camara P. 🟨,
62', Sapsford Z. ↓, Stirton O. ↑,
62', Camara P. ↓, Sibbald C. ↑,
62', Farrugia N. ↓, Dolcek I. ↑,
68', Russell J. ↓, Eskesen J. ↑,
70', Pittman S. ↓, McKay B. ↑,
74', Kabongolo B. 🟨,
76', Danso E. ↓, Zimmerman J. ↑,
76', Muirhead R. ↓, Denholm A. ↑,
76', Montano C. ↓, Fati B. ↑,
83', Strain R. ↓, Constable S. ↑,
86', Zimmerman J. 🟨,
87', Smith L. ↓, Culbert S. ↑,
89', Constable S. 🟨,

Preview

Livingston is Relegated to Championship

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Dundee Utd is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dundee Utd won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Dundee Utd: 0.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Dundee Utd	8	3	2	3	10:11	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundee United
Scottish Premier League
09.05.26	Aberdeen - Dundee United	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Kilmarnock - Dundee United	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Dundee United - Dundee	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Dundee United - Livingston	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Glasgow Rangers - Dundee United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL
- Livingston FC
Scottish Premier League
09.05.26	Dundee - Livingston	3:0 ✺
01.05.26	Livingston - Aberdeen	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	St. Mirren - Livingston	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Dundee United - Livingston	3:2 ✺
05.04.26	Livingston - Hearts	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
11.04.26	Dundee United - Livingston	3:2
30.12.25	Livingston - Dundee United	1:3
04.10.25	Dundee United - Livingston	1:1
20.05.23	Livingston - Dundee United	2:1
22.04.23	Dundee United - Livingston	2:0
08.03.23	Livingston - Dundee United	1:1
Scottish League Cup
31.08.22	Livingston - Dundee United	1:2

Upcoming Matches