Match Info

Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 35

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: The Home of the Set Fare Arena (Livingston)

Referee: Scott C. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Livingston		Aberdeen

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.3	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.35
	2.78	3.25	2.48	Watch
	2.92	3.4	2.55
	2.82	3.39	2.48	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.45
	2.83	3.22	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.87)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	2.43 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livingston
33.3%

Draw
28.3%

Aberdeen
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27.3%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Livingston - Aberdeen Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Livingston will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Aberdeen will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aberdeen: 59% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Prior J. (G) 23. Kabongolo B. 27. Wilson D. 5. McGowan R. (C) 19. Finlayson D. 37. Arfield S. 24. Sylla M. 26. Montano C. 15. Smith L. 17. May S. 7. Nouble J.	1. Mitov D. (G) 22. Milne J. 23. Morrison L. 21. Molloy G. 28. Jensen A. 32. Afeez A. 16. Armstrong S. 3. Frame M. 8. Geiger D. 20. Olusanya T. 15. Nisbet K. (C)
Substitutes
20. Danso E. 3. Fati B. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 2. Kerr C. 10. McKay B. 9. Muirhead R. 8. Pittman S. 25. Tait M. 29. Zimmerman J.	99. Bratveit P. (G) 42. Bwomono E. 25. Cameron L. 81. Keskinen T. 5. Knoester M. 27. Lazetic M. 11. Milanovic N. 18. Palaversa A. 4. Shinnie G.
Coaches
Bartley M.	Robinson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Frame M. ⚽, Geiger D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', May S. ↓, Pittman S. ↑,
46', Wilson D. ↓, Tait M. ↑,
46', Arfield S. ↓, McKay B. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Nouble J. ⚽,
59', Montano C. ↓, Fati B. ↑,
66', Milne J. ↓, Knoester M. ↑,
70', Fati B. 🟨,
71', 1 - 2, Finlayson D. (Own goal),
73', Nouble J. ↓, Muirhead R. ↑,
74', Geiger D. ↓, Keskinen T. ↑,
74', Olusanya T. ↓, Palaversa A. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Muirhead R. ⚽,
81', Finlayson D. 🟨,
84', Frame M. ↓, Bwomono E. ↑,
84', Jensen A. ↓, Milanovic N. ↑,
90', Tait M. 🟨,
90+6', Keskinen T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Livingston has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Livingston: McLennan C. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Aberdeen: McIntyre T. (Inactive) Suman N. (Ankle Injury) Tobers K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Livingston: Denholm A. (Hamstring Injury) Fati B. (Injury) Finlayson D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Aberdeen: Devlin N. (Knee Injury) Milne J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:36. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Aberdeen: 0.47%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Livingston - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.34%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livingston FC
Scottish Premier League
25.04.26	St. Mirren - Livingston	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Dundee United - Livingston	3:2 ✺
05.04.26	Livingston - Hearts	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Kilmarnock - Livingston	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Hibernian - Livingston	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WLTLT
- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
25.04.26	Aberdeen - Kilmarnock	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Aberdeen - Hibernian	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	St. Mirren - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Glasgow Rangers - Aberdeen	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Aberdeen - Falkirk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
24.01.26	Aberdeen - Livingston	6:2
30.11.25	Livingston - Aberdeen	0:1
13.09.25	Aberdeen - Livingston	0:0
15.05.24	Aberdeen - Livingston	5:1
06.04.24	Livingston - Aberdeen	0:0
20.12.23	Aberdeen - Livingston	2:1
05.08.23	Livingston - Aberdeen	0:0

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