Match Info

Premiership - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen)

Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Germany	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Como TV
Nigeria	Red TV
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	Hearts TV, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Aberdeen		Hearts

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.30	2.25
	2.80	3.40	2.35
	2.80	3.45	2.35	Watch
	3.08	3.56	2.36
	2.87	3.42	2.43	Watch
	3.00	3.50	2.25
	3.01	3.36	2.43	Watch
	3.10	3.55	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (4.27)	3.44 ↓ (3.82)	2.35 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberdeen
32%

Draw
27.6%

Hearts
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

24.4%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aberdeen's performance.

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hearts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Aberdeen - Hearts Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aberdeen will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Hearts will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Aberdeen (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Muller M. (G) 28. Cadden Ch. 23. Mayo L. 26. Happe D. 24. Guinness-Walker N. 8. Lyons B. 32. Aremu A. 20. Olusanya T. 25. Ronan C. 7. Yogane T. 15. Nisbet K. (C)	1. Reus B. (G) 23. Altena J. 6. McEntee O. 17. Findlay S. 18. Milne H. (C) 16. Spittal B. 29. Kerjota S. 78. Mendy L. 7. Miller C. 77. Ba-Sy A. 10. Braga C.
Substitutes
17. Armstrong S. 10. Briedl A. 53. Fasanya A. 16. Lobban D. 22. Milne J. 1. Mitov D. (G) 21. Molloy G. 9. Mouloua A. 11. Smith L.	28. Clark Z. (G) 19. Guendouz S. 11. Kabore P. 89. Kyziridis A. 22. Magnusson T. 74. Mato R. 5. McCart J. 15. McPake J. 21. Wilson J.
Coaches
Robinson S.	Vrancken W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Lyons B. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, McEntee O. ⚽,
41', Altena J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Ba-Sy A. ↓, Kabore P. ↑,
72', Aremu A. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
73', Cadden Ch. ↓, Mouloua A. ↑,
73', Yogane T. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
73', Ronan C. ↓, Briedl A. ↑,
74', Kerjota S. ↓, Guendouz S. ↑,
75', Mendy L. ↓, McCart J. ↑,
80', Spittal B. ↓, Magnusson T. ↑,
83', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Molloy G. ↑,
89', Milne H. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Mayo L. ⚽, Nisbet K. (A),
90+3', Findlay S. 🟥,
90+5', 2 - 1, Nisbet K. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Nisbet K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 2.

Aberdeen is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Aberdeen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hearts is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Aberdeen: Gyamfi E. (Inactive) Tobers K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hearts: Ageu (Thigh Injury) Halkett C. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Aberdeen: Knoester M. (Injury) Yengi K. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Hearts: Kingsley S. (Injury) Kyziridis A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Aberdeen won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 2:0.8).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Hearts: 4.18% Aberdeen: 0.47%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Hearts	7	4	1	2	14:8	6	13
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Hearts - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.77%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberdeen FC
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Aberdeen - Kelty Hearts	3:0 ✺
22.07.26	Queen of the South - Aberdeen	1:4 ✺
18.07.26	Aberdeen - Queens Park	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Brora Rangers - Aberdeen	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Linfield - Aberdeen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW
- Heart of Midlothian
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Hearts - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Sturm Graz - Hearts	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Hearts - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Livingston - Hearts	2:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
16.05.26	Celtic - Hearts	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
28.02.26	Hearts - Aberdeen	1:0
23.11.25	Aberdeen - Hearts	1:0
04.08.25	Hearts - Aberdeen	2:0
Scottish Cup
19.04.25	Hearts - Aberdeen	1:2 ET
Scottish Premier League
12.01.25	Aberdeen - Hearts	0:0
01.12.24	Hearts - Aberdeen	1:1
06.10.24	Aberdeen - Hearts	3:2

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