Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 6

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Fontelo (Viseu)

Referee: Lima R. (Por)


	Académico de Viseu		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.85
	1.92	3.41	4.63
	10.56	4.49	1.33	Watch
	1.98	3.34	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (2.23)	3.56 ↑ (3.25)	3.49 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
32.5%

Draw
33.4%

Portimonense
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

27.5%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Académico de Viseu's form might have worsened.

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Académico de Viseu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Académico de Viseu - Portimonense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Viseu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bruno Brigido (G) 41. Correia A. 2. Michelis N. 5. Pedro Barcelos 21. Domingos T. 31. Joao Guilherme 14. Messeguem S. (C) 57. Costa G. 22. Mortimer N. 33. Andre Clovis 32. Zamora A.	77. Cibois S. (G) 73. Junior M. 33. Grolli D. 32. Jarleysom 5. Heitor 15. Xavier 31. Edney 17. Joao Reis 18. Mamede 9. Monteiro T. (C) 7. Djassi D.
Substitutes
47. Gohi L. 16. Guedes R. 98. Kaique 8. Kone S. 58. Matheus Sampaio (G) 66. Milioransa I. 9. Robinho 78. Silva B. 7. Silva L.	2. Abel A. 90. Canario F. 21. Dauda M. 36. Douglas Friedrich (G) 40. Joao Neto 8. Lobato S. 10. Mateus Santos 6. Neves S. 23. Silva J.
Coaches
Vieira S.	Fernandes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Monteiro T. ⚽,
13', Grolli D. 🟨,
19', 1 - 1, Zamora A. ⚽,
25', Correia A. 🟨,
29', 1 - 2, Djassi D. ⚽,
34', Domingos T. 🟥,
43', Andre Clovis 🟨,
45+4', Junior M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Joao Guilherme ↓, Silva L. ↑,
46', Junior M. ↓, Abel A. ↑,
55', Correia A. ↓, Robinho ↑,
61', Mamede ↓, Silva J. ↑,
61', Heitor ↓, Lobato S. ↑,
63', Silva L. 🟨,
64', Mortimer N. ↓, Kone S. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Monteiro T. ⚽,
74', Costa G. ↓, Milioransa I. ↑,
74', Zamora A. ↓, Gohi L. ↑,
84', Djassi D. ↓, Mateus Santos ↑,
84', Joao Reis ↓, Neves S. ↑,
86', Lobato S. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 3, Michelis N. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viseu won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Viseu is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Viseu won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Viseu won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Portalegrense - Académico de Viseu	0:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
15.09.25	Oliveirense - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Académico de Viseu - Porto B	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Torreense - Académico de Viseu	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Académico de Viseu - Paços de Ferreira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWLT
- Portimonense SC
Taça de Portugal
20.09.25	Vitória de Sernache - Portimonense	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
14.09.25	Portimonense - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Benfica B - Portimonense	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Portimonense - Vizela	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Feirense - Portimonense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.05.25	Académico de Viseu - Portimonense	2:1
21.12.24	Portimonense - Académico de Viseu	1:1
23.04.17	Académico de Viseu - Portimonense	1:0
03.12.16	Portimonense - Académico de Viseu	3:0
16.01.16	Académico de Viseu - Portimonense	0:1
15.08.15	Portimonense - Académico de Viseu	1:2
17.05.15	Académico de Viseu - Portimonense	1:0

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