Match Info

VENEZUELA: LIGA FUTVE - ROUND 10

Date: 14 April 2023, Friday

Location: Complejo Deportivo Socialista (Carabobo)


	Academia Puerto Cabello		Hermanos Colmenares

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.2
	1.7	3.35	4
	1.66	3.47	4.62
	1.75	3.4	4.2
	1.71	3.74	4.5	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.57)	3.54 ↓ (3.76)	4.39 ↓ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Academia Puerto Cabello
53.7%

Draw
25.6%

Hermanos Colmenares
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

24.5%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.8%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Academia Puerto Cabello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Academia Puerto Cabello's form might have worsened.

Hermanos Colmenares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Academia Puerto Cabello, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermanos Colmenares than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Academia Puerto Cabello - Hermanos Colmenares Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puerto Cabello: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Final Group: ) and 9).

Puerto Cabello is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hermanos Colmenares is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Puerto Cabello could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Puerto Cabello is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Puerto Cabello won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Puerto Cabello won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuelan Primera Division
09.04.23	Angostura - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportes Tolima	0:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.04.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo La Guaira	1:0 ✺
17.03.23	Mineros de Guayana - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:3 ✺
12.03.23	Carabobo - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWWW
- CD Hermanos Colmenares
Venezuelan Primera Division
07.04.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Universidad Central	1:1 ✺
31.03.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0 ✺
17.03.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Carabobo	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Angostura	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Monagas - Hermanos Colmenares	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
26.08.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Hermanos Colmenares	1:2
25.03.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Academia Puerto Cabello	4:1
18.11.21	Hermanos Colmenares - Academia Puerto Cabello	3:1
30.10.21	Academia Puerto Cabello - Hermanos Colmenares	2:2

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