The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Academia Puerto Cabello 41.5%
Draw 31.4%
Deportivo La Guaira 27.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.7%
30.5%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
29.5%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo La Guaira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Romero L. (G) 29. Vargas J. 26. Ramos J. (C) 14. Bortagaray G. 16. Rosales R. 6. Lima P. 8. Moreno J. 5. Gonzalez G. 30. Casiani L. 11. Pernia E. 19. Castillo J.
1. Varela C. (C) 16. Martinez L. 24. Ortiz G. 2. Rojas C. 39. Orihuela M. 14. Da Silva C. 15. Gonzalez M. 10. Castellanos J. 23. Herrera J. 36. Londono F. 22. Sulbaran M.
Substitutes
4. Baptista F. 24. Contreras H. 41. Cova L. 1. Graterol J. (G) 31. Hernandez J. 20. Marchan J. 17. Martinez J. 44. Melendez G. 40. Ortuno J. 28. Osorio D. 37. Pimentel L. 9. Ponce A.
27. Correa J. 37. Gonzalez M. 33. Hernandez N. 13. Ibarra R. 43. Martinez J. 7. Meza J. 49. Pena M. 8. Perdomo J. 12. Sanchez J. (G) 9. Uribe A. 28. Villero M. 30. Zeballos S.
Coaches
Sarago E.
Bidoglio H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Castellanos J. ⚽,
45+1', Da Silva C. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Casiani L. 🟨,
52', Lima P. 🟨,
58', Lima P. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
58', Casiani L. ↓, Marchan J. ↑,
60', Ortiz G. 🟨,
63', Castellanos J. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
63', Sulbaran M. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
63', Londono F. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
67', Rosales R. ↓, Ponce A. ↑,
68', Pernia E. 🟨,
74', 1 - 1, Marchan J. ⚽, Martinez J. (A),
75', Correa J. 🟨,
75', Gonzalez M. ↓, Perdomo J. ↑,
82', Pernia E. ↓, Cova L. ↑,
82', Moreno J. ↓, Contreras H. ↑,
90+1', Ramos J. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Cabello won 2.
Puerto Cabello is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Deportivo La Guaira has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Puerto Cabello may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Puerto Cabello will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puerto Cabello won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Cabello won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.9:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Academia Puerto Cabello - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.67%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Romero L. (G) 
Ramos J. (C) 
Bortagaray G. 
Ortiz G. 
Herrera J. 
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