Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Fontelo (Viseu)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)


	Académico de Viseu		Farense

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.3	Watch
	2.22	3.1	3.2
	2.22	3.28	3.54
	2.17	3.24	3.39	Watch
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.26	3.14	3.2	Watch
	2.16	3.14	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.15)	3.13 ↓ (3.29)	3.29 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
42.4%

Draw
29.6%

Farense
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for Farense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Académico de Viseu - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Viseu will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Farense will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Gril D. (G) 9. Robinho 2. Michelis N. 41. Correia A. 57. Costa G. 14. Messeguem S. 7. Silva L. (C) 32. Zamora A. 17. Kahraman C. 31. Joao Guilherme 33. Andre Clovis	99. Araujo B. (G) 34. Herrero T. 26. Ruben 5. Romero F. 3. D'Agrella L. 29. Claudio Falcao (C) 20. Semedo Y. 2. Delgado F. 17. Candeias A. 90. Sangare B. 10. Almeida B.
Substitutes
1. Bruno Brigido (G) 21. Domingos T. 47. Gohi L. 16. Guedes R. 8. Kone S. 5. Pedro Barcelos 44. Pereira R. 78. Silva B. 55. Silva T.	7. Costa R. 35. Furtado D. 16. Geovanny 21. Jaiminho 8. Menino M. 80. Ndiaye A. 14. Poveda D. 30. Tannander J. (G) 88. Teixeira R.
Coaches
Fonseca S.	Silas

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Joao Guilherme ⚽, Kahraman C. (A),
44', Candeias A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Romero F. 🟨,
54', D'Agrella L. 🟨,
59', Robinho 🟨,
63', Sangare B. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
63', Candeias A. ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
68', Robinho ↓, Domingos T. ↑,
71', Silva L. 🟨,
72', D'Agrella L. ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Joao Guilherme ⚽,
79', Almeida B. ↓, Menino M. ↑,
79', Semedo Y. ↓, Teixeira R. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Zamora A. ⚽,
85', Michelis N. 🟨,
86', Joao Guilherme ↓, Silva B. ↑,
86', Costa G. ↓, Pedro Barcelos ↑,
87', Silva L. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
90+1', Kahraman C. ↓, Guedes R. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viseu won 1.

Viseu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Farense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Viseu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Viseu won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Viseu won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.7:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Académico de Viseu - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.46%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
07.12.25	Feirense - Académico de Viseu	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Académico de Viseu - Penafiel	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	AVS - Académico de Viseu	1:0 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
09.11.25	Felgueiras - Académico de Viseu	1:3 ✺
04.11.25	Académico de Viseu - Lusitânia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLWW
- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
08.12.25	Farense - Vizela	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Farense	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.25	Farense - Silves	5:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.11.25	Felgueiras - Farense	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Feirense - Farense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
12.02.23	Académico de Viseu - Farense	2:0
20.08.22	Farense - Académico de Viseu	2:2
13.02.22	Farense - Académico de Viseu	1:1
13.09.21	Académico de Viseu - Farense	2:2
29.02.20	Farense - Académico de Viseu	3:1
21.09.19	Académico de Viseu - Farense	1:0
19.05.19	Farense - Académico de Viseu	1:0

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