Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 9

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos (Felgueiras)

Referee: Macedo C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Felgueiras		Farense

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.42	3.15	2.82
	2.52	3.3	3.07
	2.40	3.13	2.87	Watch
	2.45	3.14	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.4)	3.16 ↑ (3.13)	2.88 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
38.4%

Draw
29.3%

Farense
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

29.5%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Felgueiras have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Felgueiras - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Farense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Felgueiras (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Figueiredo C. (G) 61. Eiro 33. Dario 34. Silva A. 20. Berna 18. Gabi 6. Martins H. 8. Landinho (C) 78. Moreira V. 19. Lucas Duarte 7. Rivas M.	99. Araujo B. (G) 70. Rivaldo 29. Claudio Falcao (C) 26. Ruben 6. Derick Poloni 20. Semedo Y. 80. Ndiaye A. 8. Menino M. 17. Candeias A. 90. Sangare B. 7. Costa R.
Substitutes
77. Beni 1. Didi (G) 4. Dudu Cruz 25. Felipe Scheibig (G) 30. Feliz 14. Jean-Marie M. 44. Junior M. 9. Santos Teixeira L. 12. Zangre A.	2. Delgado F. 25. Dorregaray D. 16. Geovanny 34. Herrero T. 21. Jaiminho 77. Matias M. 14. Poveda D. 30. Tannander J. (G) 88. Teixeira R.
Coaches
Bento A.	Silas

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Rivas M. ↓, Santos Teixeira L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Costa R. ↓, Geovanny ↑,
46', Menino M. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
51', Sangare B. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Moreira V. (Pen),
57', Figueiredo C. 🟨,
59', Semedo Y. ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
71', Sangare B. ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
77', Candeias A. ↓, Matias M. ↑,
81', Moreira V. ↓, Zangre A. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Claudio Falcao ⚽, Derick Poloni (A),
87', Rivaldo 🟨,
88', Gabi ↓, Jean-Marie M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7).

Felgueiras is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Farense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Farense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Farense - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
09.11.25	Felgueiras - Académico de Viseu	1:3 ✺
04.11.25	Torreense - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Vizela - Felgueiras	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Atlético CP - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
05.10.25	Felgueiras - Feirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTLW
- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
07.11.25	Feirense - Farense	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Farense - Benfica B	4:3 ✺
26.10.25	Farense - Penafiel	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Marco 09 - Farense	0:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.25	Lusitânia - Farense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTWW

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