Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 11

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Marcolino de Castro (Santa Maria da Feira)

Referee: Vieira B. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV5


	Feirense		Farense

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.05	3.15	2.25
	3.53	3.14	2.29
	2.79	3.18	2.42	Watch
	3.06	3.48	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.79)	3.27 ↑ (3.18)	2.26 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feirense
30.2%

Draw
28.5%

Farense
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

28.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	45.5%	36.4%

Feirense - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Feirense will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Farense will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Farense (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Farense (3.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Farense (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Farense (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Farense (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Altube D. (G) 2. Gustavo 4. Leal A. 21. Fernandes E. 5. Silva B. 6. Doumbia D. 10. Ribeiro T. 8. John N. 20. Oliveira J. 9. Klimov K. 7. Antunes L. (C)	99. Araujo B. (G) 34. Herrero T. 5. Romero F. 3. D'Agrella L. 6. Derick Poloni 20. Semedo Y. 29. Claudio Falcao (C) 8. Menino M. 25. Dorregaray D. 90. Sangare B. 7. Costa R.
Substitutes
34. Abou A. 33. Costa G. 23. de Oliveira da Silva P. H. 32. Edgar Ie 77. Gui Meira 1. Meixedo F. (G) 15. Miguel 11. Nketia D. 12. Ze Ricardo	17. Candeias A. 21. Jaiminho 77. Matias M. 80. Ndiaye A. 14. Poveda D. 70. Rivaldo 26. Ruben 30. Tannander J. (G) 88. Teixeira R.
Coaches
Costa R.	Silas

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Silva B. ↓, Ze Ricardo ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Doumbia D. 🟨,
63', Sangare B. 🟨,
64', Klimov K. ↓, de Oliveira da Silva P. H. ↑,
67', Dorregaray D. ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
70', Ribeiro T. ↓, Nketia D. ↑,
70', Oliveira J. ↓, Gui Meira ↑,
72', Doumbia D. 🟨,
77', Costa R. ↓, Matias M. ↑,
77', Semedo Y. ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
77', Sangare B. ↓, Candeias A. ↑,
77', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
83', Herrero T. ↓, Rivaldo ↑,
87', John N. 🟨,
90+7', Romero F. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feirense won 2.

Feirense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Farense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Feirense won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Feirense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Feirense - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
01.11.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Feirense	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Feirense - Benfica B	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Penafiel - Feirense	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Felgueiras - Feirense	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Feirense - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
02.11.25	Farense - Benfica B	4:3 ✺
26.10.25	Farense - Penafiel	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Marco 09 - Farense	0:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.25	Lusitânia - Farense	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Farense - Chaves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
29.04.23	Feirense - Farense	1:2
12.11.22	Farense - Feirense	0:0
08.02.22	Feirense - Farense	4:1
29.08.21	Farense - Feirense	0:1
15.12.19	Farense - Feirense	1:0
31.01.16	Feirense - Farense	1:0
26.08.15	Farense - Feirense	1:1

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