The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Armenio 39.5%
Draw 32.5%
Real Pilar 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
29.7%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
29.8%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Armenio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Pilar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Pilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Armenio - Real Pilar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nistal N. (G) 8. Almanza F. 10. Barrionuevo D. 9. Davila M. 6. Echeverria J. 11. Herrera Jonathan N. 2. Marchesini F. 3. Mosca N. 4. Ortiz B. 5. Tello F. 7. Villalva L.
1. Perafan P. (G) 2. Abre F. 11. Crocco M. (C) 3. Franco E. 6. Gelos V. 4. Leguiza D. 7. Martin B. 5. Rios N. 9. Rodriguez E. 8. Rojas M. 10. Vergara D.
Substitutes
13. Aguirre E. 16. Gerez R. 14. Gomez C. 12. Mugica J. (G) 20. Palma L. 19. Pellegrino L.
13. Achucarro D. 18. Camargo T. 16. Cesar J. 17. Gonzalez D. 14. Isola G. 19. Mancini V. 15. Pansardi F. 20. Riquelme M. D. 12. Sanchez S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Barrionuevo D. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Rodriguez E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Villalva L. ↓, Pellegrino L. ↑,
55', Avalos S. ↓, Mosca N. ↑,
55', Almanza F. ↓, Gerez R. ↑,
56', Crocco M. ↓, Achucarro D. ↑,
65', Echeverria J. 🟨,
66', Martin B. ↓, Pansardi F. ↑,
66', Rojas M. ↓, Mancini V. ↑,
67', Mosca N. 🟨,
72', Suanez T. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
79', 🟨,
79', Vergara D. ↓, Riquelme M. D. ↑,
80', Ortiz B. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Deportivo Armenio might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Armenio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Real Pilar
38
17
10
11
42:38
4
61
8
Deportivo Armenio
38
17
9
12
42:38
4
60
Last Results with these Odds
Real Pilar - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.58%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.