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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Flandria 29.1%
Draw 34.2%
Real Pilar 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
31.5%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.7%
30.4%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Flandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Deportivo Flandria - Real Pilar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morel C. (G) 11. Brestt F. 3. Correa M. 10. Costa F. 7. Diosquez N. 9. Gimenez B. 5. Gonzalez A. E. 6. Mariatti M. 2. Nalerio A. 4. Real F. 8. Vasconcelo M.
1. Perafan P. (G) 6. Achucarro D. 10. Blanco S. 11. Crocco M. (C) 3. Franco E. 2. Govi G. 7. Martinez F. 4. Pansardi F. 9. Riquelme M. D. 5. Rojas M. 8. Vergara D.
Substitutes
20. Bernal R. 17. Casal A. 19. Donato M. 15. Gonzalez B. 18. Jaureguiberrey M. 14. Orensans J. 16. Prokop A. 13. Ruiz F. 12. Szalich L. (G)
19. Avalos N. 16. Cesar J. 17. Chambi L. 15. Escurra N. 20. Gonzalez D. 14. Leguiza D. 18. Moran J. 13. Puch M. 12. Sanchez S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Gimenez B. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Riquelme M. D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Govi G. ↓, Puch M. ↑,
46', Pansardi F. ↓, Leguiza D. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Martinez F. ⚽,
58', Gimenez B. ↓, Prokop A. ↑,
60', 1 - 3, Vergara D. ⚽,
61', Vergara D. ↓, Chambi L. ↑,
64', Brestt F. ↓, Donato M. ↑,
64', Vasconcelo M. ↓, Bernal R. ↑,
71', Riquelme M. D. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
77', Blanco S. ↓, Moran J. ↑,
85', Real F. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
85', Gonzalez A. E. ↓, Jaureguiberrey M. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Flandria is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Real Pilar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Real Pilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Real Pilar might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Flandria won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Flandria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Real Pilar
38
17
10
11
42:38
4
61
20
Flandria
38
10
9
19
34:48
-14
39
Last Results with these Odds
Real Pilar - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.74%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.