Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday


	Accrington Stanley		Blackpool

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	2.05
	3.75	3.5	1.95
	3.55	3.55	2.05
	3.5	3.35	2.03
	3.67	3.61	2.09
	3.5	3.3	2.05
	3.68	3.62	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.81)	3.49 ↑ (3.44)	2.05 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Accrington Stanley
26.3%

Draw
27.2%

Blackpool
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.5%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

20.7%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Blackpool's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blackpool could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Accrington Stanley - Blackpool Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 8 and 12).

Accrington has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Blackpool has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Blackpool will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Accrington Stanley
English League One
15.12.20	Gillingham - Accrington Stanley	0:2 ✺
12.12.20	Wigan Athletic - Accrington Stanley	4:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.12.20	Accrington Stanley - Manchester United U21	3:2 ✺
English League One
05.12.20	Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons	2:1 ✺
02.12.20	Shrewsbury Town - Accrington Stanley	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLWWT
- Blackpool
English League One
15.12.20	Blackpool - Hull City	3:2 ✺
12.12.20	Blackpool - Oxford United	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.12.20	Fleetwood Town - Blackpool	1:0 penalties ✺
English League One
05.12.20	Fleetwood Town - Blackpool	0:1 ✺
01.12.20	Blackpool - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
06.10.20	Accrington Stanley - Blackpool	2:1 penalties
English League One
26.12.19	Blackpool - Accrington Stanley	0:1
21.09.19	Accrington Stanley - Blackpool	1:1
05.03.19	Accrington Stanley - Blackpool	1:2
English EFL Trophy
13.11.18	Blackpool - Accrington Stanley	3:2
English League One
25.08.18	Blackpool - Accrington Stanley	1:1
English EFL Trophy
03.10.17	Accrington Stanley - Blackpool	1:2

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