The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 55.4%
Draw 24.7%
Northampton Town 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
24.9%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.6%
19.6%
16%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
3.3%
13.3%
Accrington Stanley - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Accrington Stanley will win
(25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation to League Two).
Accrington has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Northampton has a good chance of relegated (60%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Accrington is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Northampton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Northampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Accrington is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Accrington won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.
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