Match Info

League Two - Round 42

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Laflin G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	15:00	Sky Sports+


	Gillingham		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.08	3.35	3.45	Watch
	2.12	3.49	3.48
	2.11	3.29	3.43	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.3
	2.11	3.22	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.88)	3.3 ↓ (3.35)	3.45 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
44.6%

Draw
28.3%

Accrington Stanley
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.3%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Gillingham - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Accrington will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morris G. (G) 2. Hutton R. 5. Smith A. 32. Cirino L. 3. Clark M. 30. Gale S. 8. Little A. (C) 27. Khumbeni N. 7. McCleary G. 12. Palmer-Houlden S. 38. Hale R.	13. Wright O. (G) 38. O'Brien C. 5. Rawson F. 2. Love D. 3. Sass F. 28. Conneely S. (C) 22. Martin D. 7. Whalley S. 11. Sinclair I. 39. Woods J. 23. Walton T.
Substitutes
9. Andrews J. 23. Dack B. 35. Dayal L. 4. Masterson C. 25. Turner J. (G) 19. Vokes S. 10. Williams J.	27. Abimbola D. 20. Brown C. 24. Butterfield L. 6. Coyle L. 1. Kelly M. (G) 8. Madden P. 17. Matthews D.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.	Doolan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Hale R. 🟨,
11', Wright O. 🟨,
24', Khumbeni N. 🟨,
33', Woods J. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Smith A. ⚽, Little A. (A),
42', McCleary G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Little A. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, McCleary G. ⚽, Hale R. (A),
58', O'Brien C. ↓, Matthews D. ↑,
58', Conneely S. ↓, Coyle L. ↑,
58', Martin D. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
62', McCleary G. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
74', Woods J. ↓, Abimbola D. ↑,
75', Walton T. 🟨,
80', Madden P. 🟨,
81', Walton T. 🟥,
83', Smith A. ↓, Masterson C. ↑,
83', Hale R. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
84', Cirino L. ↓, Dayal L. ↑,
84', Whalley S. ↓, Butterfield L. ↑,
90+5', Abimbola D. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 17 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 2.

Gillingham is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Accrington has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gillingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Gillingham: Antwi C. (Injury) Ogie S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Gillingham: Beckles O. (Inactive) Coleman E. (Inactive) Masterson C. (Inactive) McKenzie R. (Inactive) Smith J. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Accrington: Grant C. (Inactive) Heath I. (Inactive) Henderson A. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 0.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Accrington	13	4	6	3	22:16	6	18
12	Gillingham	13	4	5	4	18:18	0	17

Outrights of English League Two for now

Gillingham: 1.01% Accrington: 1.01%

Last Results with these Odds

Gillingham - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 48.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Accrington Stanley - the odds 3.81 are the expected chance of winning is 24.02%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
03.04.26	Walsall - Gillingham	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Crawley Town - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Gillingham - Bristol Rovers	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Gillingham - Swindon Town	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Cambridge United - Gillingham	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL
- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
03.04.26	Accrington Stanley - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Accrington Stanley - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
17.03.26	Accrington Stanley - Notts County	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Barrow - Accrington Stanley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
02.08.25	Accrington Stanley - Gillingham	1:1
15.03.25	Accrington Stanley - Gillingham	1:1
12.10.24	Gillingham - Accrington Stanley	1:2
13.01.24	Accrington Stanley - Gillingham	1:2
12.08.23	Gillingham - Accrington Stanley	1:0
English League One
26.03.22	Accrington Stanley - Gillingham	1:2
30.10.21	Gillingham - Accrington Stanley	0:0

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