Match Info

League Two - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: The Wham Stadium (Accrington)

Referee: Martin R. (Eng)


	Accrington Stanley		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.15
	3.15	3.35	2.18
	3.14	3.28	2.24	Watch
	3	3.2	2.2
	3.14	3.3	2.21	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.51)	3.34 ↓ (3.46)	2.2 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Accrington Stanley
30%

Draw
27.8%

Milton Keynes Dons
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

26.8%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

26.7%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wright O. (G) 2. Love D. 17. Matthews D. 14. Ward B. 38. O'Brien C. 28. Conneely S. (C) 11. Sinclair I. 30. Heath I. 7. Whalley S. 10. Henderson A. 39. Woods J.	1. MacGillivray C. (G) 32. Sanders J. 25. Nelson C. 15. Offord L. 2. Jones G. 26. Wiles B. 6. Kelly L. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 22. Mellish J. 13. Paterson C. 10. Collins A.
Substitutes
20. Brown C. 18. Caton C. 4. Grant C. 1. Kelly M. (G) 8. Madden P. 5. Rawson F. 3. Sass F.	7. Crowley D. 21. Ekpiteta M. 9. Hogan S. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 28. Matete J. 16. Nemane A. 27. Trueman C. (G)
Coaches
Doolan J.	Warne P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Whalley S. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Wiles B. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
45+4', 0 - 2, Collins A. ⚽, Mellish J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Woods J. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
60', Henderson A. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
62', Kelly L. 🟨,
65', Collins A. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
65', Wiles B. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
66', Matthews D. 🟨,
70', Hogan S. 🟨,
76', Kelly L. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
76', Conneely S. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
77', O'Brien C. ↓, Brown C. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Accrington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, MK Dons has had a series of home games.

MK Dons is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive)

There will not play in MK Dons: Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Tomlinson J. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J. (Inactive) Grant C. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)

There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W. (Inactive) Ekpiteta M. (Inactive) Gilbey A. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Accrington: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Accrington	10	2	5	3	13:14	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.68%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
01.01.26	Notts County - Accrington Stanley	0:1 ✺
29.12.25	Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Accrington Stanley - Barrow	2:1 ✺
19.12.25	Cambridge United - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Accrington Stanley - Bromley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLL
- Milton Keynes Dons
English FA Cup
09.01.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Oxford United	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
04.01.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Chesterfield	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
29.12.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
20.09.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley	1:2
04.03.25	Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons	2:0
22.10.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley	2:1
10.02.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley	2:1
21.10.23	Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0
English League One
18.03.23	Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1
20.08.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley	1:1

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