The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 51.1%
Draw 25.9%
Burton Albion 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
28%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
27.9%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Accrington Stanley's performance.
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Accrington Stanley that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.1%
7.7%
10.3%
Accrington Stanley - Burton Albion Predictions
Users Predictions:
Accrington Stanley will win
(32 of 39 users predict this - 82.05%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.01% – 94.09%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Accrington has the most likely position - 22 (7.08%), has project points - 53, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Burton has the most likely position - 24 (17.21%), has project points - 45, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (49%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality15, importance36, small match rating26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 0.
Recent matches Accrington is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Burton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recently Accrington have a series of home games.
In this match Accrington is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Accrington won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-25.
Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.
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