Match Info

League Two - Round 4

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Wham Stadium (Accrington)


	Accrington Stanley		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.52	3.45	2.58	Watch
	2.39	3.60	2.63	Watch
	2.52	3.3	2.64	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.71)	3.41 ↑ (3.23)	2.66 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Accrington Stanley
37.7%

Draw
27.3%

Tranmere Rovers
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

27.4%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Accrington Stanley's performance.

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	26.7%	26.7%

Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Tranmere will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wright O. (G) 17. Matthews D. 5. Rawson F. 14. Ward B. 2. Love D. 28. Conneely S. (C) 6. Coyle L. 30. Heath I. 7. Whalley S. 10. Henderson A. 8. Madden P.	13. Murphy J. (G) 30. McGowan A. 5. Smith N. 3. Brough P. 2. Norman C. 8. Finley S. 42. Kenneh N. 11. Patrick O. 18. Jennings C. 7. Whitaker C. (C) 10. Davison J.
Substitutes
16. Bauress J. 20. Brown C. 18. Caton C. 4. Grant C. 1. Kelly M. (G) 3. Sass F. 23. Walton T.	12. Barrett J. (G) 24. Blacker B. 25. Harris T. 14. Joseph J. 22. O'Connor L. 6. Smallwood R. 17. Solomon S.
Coaches
Doolan J.	Crosby A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Whalley S. ⚽,
35', McGowan A. ↓, O'Connor L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Henderson A. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
55', Whalley S. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
61', Kenneh N. ↓, Blacker B. ↑,
62', Finley S. ↓, Smallwood R. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Whitaker C. ⚽, Davison J. (A),
64', Norman C. 🟨,
67', Conneely S. ↓, Walton T. ↑,
71', O'Connor L. ↓, Joseph J. ↑,
78', Blacker B. 🟨,
90+3', Heath I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2.

Accrington has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Accrington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Accrington: Henderson A. (Injury) Whalley S. (Inactive) Woods B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Tranmere: Davison J. (Injury) Finley S. (Inactive) Williams J. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.2:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Tranmere Rovers - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 40%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
25.10.25	Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town	4:0 ✺
11.10.25	Accrington Stanley - Newport County	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Accrington Stanley - Port Vale	0:2 ✺
English League Two
04.10.25	Barnet - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLL
- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
25.10.25	Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Bristol Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	1:4 ✺
11.10.25	Tranmere Rovers - Barnet	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Barrow - Tranmere Rovers	1:2 ✺
English League Two
04.10.25	Bromley - Tranmere Rovers	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.04.25	Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers	3:3
25.02.25	Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley	0:1
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley	2:1
English League Cup
13.08.24	Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley	3:0
English League Two
27.04.24	Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers	4:1
23.09.23	Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley	2:0
English League Cup
09.08.22	Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers	2:3 penalties

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