Match Info

FA Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: St James Park (Brackley)

Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brackley Town		Burton Albion

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.86
	3.7	3.45	1.92
	3.96	3.57	1.92
	4.21	3.40	1.84	Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.85
	3.91	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.52)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	1.88 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
24%

Draw
26.6%

Burton Albion
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

26%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

25.6%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	7.7%	76.9%

Brackley Town - Burton Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Brackley will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Burton will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burton Albion will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maxted J. (G) 12. Nottingham M. 6. Dean G. 5. Morrison K. 2. Calder R. 23. Byrne S. 4. Price J. 10. Roberts M. 3. Lyttle T. 11. Lowe M. 28. Newton D.	24. Collins B. (G) 5. Vancooten T. 6. Sibbick T. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 4. Chauke K. 12. Evans G. 3. Armer J. 22. Larsson J. 9. Beesley J. (C) 10. Shade T.
Substitutes
8. Brown Z. 17. Donawa J. 21. Gregory C. (G) 27. Hall C. 22. Pendleton B. 7. Pollock S. 24. Stewart C. 14. Waldron D. 15. Wodskou B.	14. Akoto N. 21. Amissah J. (G) 27. Dudek K. (G) 17. Hazlehurst J. 41. Krubally S. 38. Newall J. 39. Taroni J. 11. Tavares F. 19. Williams D.
Coaches
Cowan G.	Bowyer G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Shade T. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Nottingham M. ⚽, Morrison K. (A),
45+1', Sibbick T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Vancooten T. 🟨,
69', Larsson J. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Shade T. ⚽, Beesley J. (A),
76', Price J. ↓, Pollock S. ↑,
82', Morrison K. ↓, Waldron D. ↑,
84', Byrne S. ↓, Brown Z. ↑,
84', Roberts M. ↓, Hall C. ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Shade T. ⚽, Beesley J. (A),
90', Lofthouse K. ↓, Akoto N. ↑,
90+4', Chauke K. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,
90+4', Beesley J. ↓, Newall J. ↑,
90+4', Shade T. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,

Preview

Recent form of Brackley has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Burton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brackley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Burton will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brackley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Brackley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League
29.11.25	Woking - Brackley Town	2:0 ✺
English National League Cup
25.11.25	Brackley Town - Burnley U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
22.11.25	Brackley Town - York City	2:3 ✺
18.11.25	Morecambe - Brackley Town	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Altrincham - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL
- Burton Albion
English League One
02.12.25	Wigan Athletic - Burton Albion	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Burton Albion - Leyton Orient	0:4 ✺
15.11.25	Burton Albion - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Burton Albion - Crewe Alexandra	1:3 ✺
English League One
08.11.25	Bradford City - Burton Albion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.07.23	Brackley Town - Burton Albion	2:2
19.07.22	Brackley Town - Burton Albion	2:1

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