The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 15.8%
Draw 20.3%
Stockport County 63.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.1%
24.2%
52.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
23.9%
53.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.
Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stockport County's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stockport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
0%
85.7%
Accrington Stanley - Stockport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
Stockport County will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Francis Crellin W. (G) 20. Patrick O. 2. Love D. (C) 4. Awe Z. 16. Batty J. 8. Woods B. 14. Khumbeni N. 45. Hunter A. 10. Henderson A. 17. Costelloe D. 39. Woods J.
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 26. Norwood O. 6. Horsfall F. (C) 15. Pye E. 27. Bailey O. 24. Onyango T. 11. Powell N. 10. Fevrier J. 7. Diamond J. 9. Olaofe I. 21. Stretton J.
Substitutes
1. Kelly M. (G) 11. Knowles J. 38. O'Brien C. 19. Popoola A. 12. Quirk S. 5. Rawson F. 27. Trickett L.
20. Barry L. 8. Camps C. 14. Collar W. 46. Mapengu N. 25. Metcalfe M. (G) 55. Watson R. 19. Wootton K.
Coaches
Doolan J.
Challinor D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Hunter A. ⚽, Henderson A. (A),
23', Powell N. 🟨,
32', Woods B. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Stretton J. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Stretton J. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
41', Norwood O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Love D. ↓, Quirk S. ↑,
46', Patrick O. ↓, O'Brien C. ↑,
46', Stretton J. ↓, Wootton K. ↑,
46', Powell N. ↓, Camps C. ↑,
47', Horsfall F. 🟨,
53', Woods J. 🟨,
61', Olaofe I. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
78', Hunter A. ↓, Trickett L. ↑,
79', Fevrier J. ↓, Barry L. ↑,
82', 1 - 3, Camps C. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 4, Barry L. ⚽, Diamond J. (A),
Preview
Accrington is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Stockport is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Stockport is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Accrington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.