The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mansfield Town 28.5%
Draw 26.1%
Stockport County 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
27.7%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
26.8%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
9.1%
72.7%
Mansfield Town - Stockport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Stockport will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 46.4% – 99%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stockport County will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roberts L. (G) 23. Oshilaja A. 5. Sweeney R. (C) 6. Cargill B. 4. Hewitt E. 25. Reed L. 3. McLaughlin S. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 8. Lewis A. 11. Evans W.
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 24. Onyango T. 33. Hills B. 15. Pye E. 10. Fevrier J. 26. Norwood O. (C) 27. Bailey O. 23. Osborn B. 7. Diamond J. 11. Mothersille M. 19. Wootton K.
Substitutes
38. Chambers J. 17. Dickov M. 14. Dwyer D. 36. Goodman J. 12. Mason O. (G) 21. McAdam K. 39. Taylor O.
34. Addai C. (G) 3. Dodgson O. 42. Edwards C. 48. Gardner C. 31. Hunt J. 9. Lowe N. 5. Olowu J.
Coaches
Clough N.
Challinor D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Pye E. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Wootton K. (Own goal),
41', Evans W. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Sweeney R. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Fevrier J. ↓, Lowe N. ↑,
60', Mothersille M. ↓, Olowu J. ↑,
61', Hills B. 🟨,
66', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, Diamond J. ⚽, Osborn B. (A),
74', Bailey O. ↓, Dodgson O. ↑,
75', Norwood O. ↓, Hunt J. ↑,
84', Reed L. ↓, Dwyer D. ↑,
87', Sweeney R. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
90+2', Onyango T. ↓, Gardner C. ↑,
90+2', Moriah-Welsh N. ↓, McAdam K. ↑,
90+3', Blake-Tracy F. ↓, Taylor O. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 3.
Recent form of Mansfield has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Stockport has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Stockport is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L.
(Knee Injury)
Hendry R.
(Inactive)
Knoyle K.
(Inactive)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Roberts T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Stockport: Bate L.
(Knee Injury)
Norwood O.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Mansfield: Bowery J.
(Inactive)
Gardner J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Stockport: Connolly C.
(Injury)
Hoskonen A.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Stockport County - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.45%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.