Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 22

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday


	Acero		Soneja

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.16	2.92	3.28
	2.16	2.91	3.28
	2.18	3.06	3.21
	2.25	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.94)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	3.16 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acero
41.1%

Draw
30.4%

Soneja
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

29.2%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

29.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Acero's performance.

Soneja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Soneja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acero than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Acero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Soneja than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Soneja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Soneja could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Acero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Acero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
03.03.24	Gandía - Acero	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Castellon B - Acero	5:2 ✺
11.02.24	Acero - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
04.02.24	Acero - Roda	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Rayo Ibense - Acero	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWLT
- CD Soneja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
02.03.24	Soneja - Castellon B	1:5 ✺
17.02.24	Soneja - Roda	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Rayo Ibense - Soneja	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Soneja - Silla	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Ontinyent 1931 - Soneja	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
08.10.23	Soneja - Acero	0:1

Acero - Soneja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide