Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Ragusa		Acireale

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.62
	2.46	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.45	3.15	2.58
	2.54	3	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.44)	3.16 ↓ (3.39)	2.6 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ragusa
36.6%

Draw
28.6%

Acireale
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

26.1%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ragusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Acireale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ragusa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acireale than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Ragusa - Acireale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Memeo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 2 - 0, D'Innocenzo F. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ragusa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ragusa Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
07.12.25	Sancataldese - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ragusa - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ragusa - Savoia	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Vigor Lamezia - Ragusa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTTWL
- Acireale Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
07.12.25	Acireale - Gelbison Cilento	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Nissa - Acireale	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Acireale - Castrumfavara	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Sambiase - Acireale	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Acireale - Reggina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
01.11.23	Acireale - Ragusa	1:2
05.03.23	Acireale - Ragusa	1:1

Ragusa - Acireale: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide