Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 16

Date: 16 December 2024, Monday

Location: Yeni Adana Stadyumu (Adana)

Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Adana Demirspor		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.5	1.53	Watch
	5.25	4.6	1.51
	5.32	4.85	1.49	Watch
	5.66	4.73	1.54
	5.63	4.68	1.52	Watch
	5.5	4.6	1.5
	5.6	4.73	1.57	Watch
	5.32	4.85	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↓ (8.81)	4.69 ↑ (4.68)	1.52 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Adana Demirspor
17.4%

Draw
20.2%

Beşiktaş
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.7%

20.1%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

17.9%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adana Demirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adana Demirspor's performance.

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beşiktaş might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adana Demirspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.9%	11.1%	75%

Adana Demirspor - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Adana Demirspor will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 63.2% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Donmezer D. (G) 99. Kurtulan A. 55. Kalender T. 4. Guler S. 23. Burak A. 58. Maestro 16. Celik I. 7. Sari Y. 11. Barasi Y. 80. Kol A. 17. Aymbetov A.	34. Gunok M. (G) 2. Svensson J. 5. Sanuc T. T. 53. Topcu E. 26. Masuaku A. 8. Ucan S. 6. Al Musrati 77. Keles C. 27. Rafa Silva 15. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. 9. Kilicsoy S.
Substitutes
22. Aktas A. 8. Aydogan T. 21. Balat B. 60. Demirbag O. 24. Ersoy B. 39. Karakus V. (G) 91. Karayigit K. 87. Kaynak O. 29. Shehu F. 90. Yilmaz A.	4. Bulut O. 30. Destanoglu E. (G) 91. Hekimoglu M. 18. Joao Mario 19. Kilic A. 23. Muci E. 73. Ndour C. 79. Terzi E. 14. Uduokhai F. 22. Zaynutdinov B.
Coaches
Dalci M.	Topraktepe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Topcu E. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Barasi Y. ⚽, Kalender T. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Aymbetov A. ⚽, Sari Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Masuaku A. ↓, Zaynutdinov B. ↑,
46', Oxlade-Chamberlain A. ↓, Muci E. ↑,
57', Maestro 🟨,
70', Celik I. 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Al Musrati ⚽,
73', Keles C. ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
76', Sanuc T. T. 🟥,
81', Celik I. ↓, Aydogan T. ↑,
82', Aymbetov A. ↓, Shehu F. ↑,
85', Ucan S. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
90+2', Kol A. ↓, Balat B. ↑,
90+2', Barasi Y. ↓, Demirbag O. ↑,
90+3', Aydogan T. 🟨,
90+11', Sari Y. ↓, Ersoy B. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Adana Demirspor won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Adana Demirspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Beşiktaş is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Fernandes G. (Red Card) Gabriel Paulista (Muscle Injury) Uduokhai F. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Uysal N. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Adana Demirspor won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:17 (average 1.4:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Adana Demirspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:12 (average 1.6:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adana Demirspor
Turkish Super League
07.12.24	Göztepe - Adana Demirspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.24	Adana Demirspor - Sebat Gençlik	4:3 ET ✺
Turkish Super League
30.11.24	Adana Demirspor - Konyaspor	0:1 ✺
25.11.24	Trabzonspor - Adana Demirspor	5:0 ✺
09.11.24	Adana Demirspor - Eyüpspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Beşiktaş
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Bodø Glimt - Beşiktaş	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
07.12.24	Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe	1:0 ✺
02.12.24	Hatayspor - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Beşiktaş - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:3 ✺
Turkish Super League
24.11.24	Beşiktaş - Göztepe	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
23.01.24	Beşiktaş - Adana Demirspor	0:0
27.09.23	Adana Demirspor - Beşiktaş	4:2
21.05.23	Adana Demirspor - Beşiktaş	1:4
29.12.22	Beşiktaş - Adana Demirspor	1:0
14.02.22	Adana Demirspor - Beşiktaş	1:1
21.09.21	Beşiktaş - Adana Demirspor	3:3
Club Friendly
06.08.21	Adana Demirspor - Beşiktaş	1:1

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