Match Info

Super Lig - Round 38

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Yeni Adana Stadyumu (Adana)

Referee: Sen A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2


	Adana Demirspor		Gaziantep

	1	X	2
	5.5	5	1.45	Watch
	6.25	5.5	1.37
	6.13	5.67	1.38
	5.68	5.5	1.42
	6.05	5.46	1.43	Watch
	6.5	5	1.36
	6.19	5.49	1.42	Watch
	6.13	5.67	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.05 ↑ (6)	5.41 ↑ (4.6)	1.4 (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adana Demirspor
15.5%

Draw
17.4%

Gaziantep
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

19.8%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

19%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adana Demirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

Adana Demirspor - Gaziantep Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Adana Demirspor will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Gaziantep will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaziantep: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaziantep (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Adana Demirspor (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Adana Demirspor (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Gaziantep (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Eser M. (G) 93. Fougeu B. 61. Yildiz A. 53. Demirkiran Y. B. 13. Tunc G. 80. Kol A. 21. Balat B. 8. Aydogan T. (C) 17. Aymbetov A. 60. Demirbag O. 10. Alioui N.	99. Bagci H. (G) 27. Artan O. 22. M'Bakata S. 51. Husic A. 93. Gunes M. 25. Ozcicek O. 8. Soyalp F. 18. Sorescu D. 44. Maxim A. (C) 9. Dervisoglu H. 21. Boateng E.
Substitutes
1. Durmaz M. (G) 94. Duyur S. A. 29. Fidan A. 15. Gezer B. 77. Gulay S. 39. Karakus V. (G) 91. Karayigit K. 28. Kavrazli S. 20. Yavuz D. 92. Zengin D.	95. Alkis I. K. (G) 40. Erdal I. A. 89. Gezer N. 23. Gumuskaya M. 26. Kalin A. O. 19. Kodro K. 90. Nacar Y. (G) 67. Tas C. 3. Tasdemir E.
Coaches
Avci M. A.	Daloglu I. K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Alioui N. ⚽, Kol A. (A),
30', Eser M. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Maxim A. (Pen),
35', 2 - 1, Alioui N. ⚽, Fougeu B. (A),
45+3', Tunc G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Dervisoglu H. ↓, Kalin A. O. ↑,
58', Gunes M. ↓, Gumuskaya M. ↑,
61', Tunc G. ↓, Yavuz D. ↑,
64', 2 - 2, Boateng E. ⚽, Sorescu D. (A),
70', Alioui N. ↓, Gulay S. ↑,
74', Demirkiran Y. B. ↓, Fidan A. ↑,
82', Kol A. ↓, Gezer B. ↑,
82', Aymbetov A. ↓, Duyur S. A. ↑,
82', Fougeu B. ↓, Karayigit K. ↑,
82', Ozcicek O. ↓, Gezer N. ↑,
86', Aydogan T. 🟨,
90', Sorescu D. ↓, Tas C. ↑,

Preview

Adana Demirspor is Relegated to 1. Lig

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adana Demirspor won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Gaziantep is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Adana Demirspor: Gravillon A. (Knee Injury) Kaynak O. (Red Card)

There will not play in Gaziantep: Bozan M. (Yellow Cards) Guler S. (Yellow Cards) Stephen G. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Adana Demirspor: Celik I. (Injury) Kalender T. (Injury) Kavrazli S. (Injury) Kol A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Gaziantep: Daubin Q. (Injury) Tasdemir E. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Adana Demirspor won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Adana Demirspor won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 2.3:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adana Demirspor
Turkish Super League
25.05.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Adana Demirspor	2:3 ✺
17.05.25	Adana Demirspor - Hatayspor	0:5 ✺
11.05.25	Beşiktaş - Adana Demirspor	4:1 ✺
04.05.25	Adana Demirspor - Göztepe	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Konyaspor - Adana Demirspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.6 WLLLL
- Gaziantep FK
Turkish Super League
24.05.25	Gaziantep - Kasımpaşa	2:2 ✺
18.05.25	Antalyaspor - Gaziantep	0:0 ✺
09.05.25	Gaziantep - Alanyaspor	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Gaziantep	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
12.01.25	Gaziantep - Adana Demirspor	1:0
12.05.24	Adana Demirspor - Gaziantep	1:6
19.12.23	Gaziantep - Adana Demirspor	2:2
07.10.22	Gaziantep - Adana Demirspor	1:1
20.02.22	Gaziantep - Adana Demirspor	0:3
25.09.21	Adana Demirspor - Gaziantep	4:0
Turkish First League
02.02.19	Adana Demirspor - Gaziantep	3:2

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